MLB Model Results — August 23, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | Pittsburgh Pirates | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 | On Target |
| Nolan McLean | Chicago White Sox | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 | On Target |
| Shane Drohan | Atlanta Braves | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 | |
| Shota Imanaga | Seattle Mariners | 6.0 | 4 | -2.0 | |
| Cal Quantrill | Los Angeles Angels | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 | On Target |
| Tyler Mahle | Milwaukee Brewers | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 | |
| Cristopher Sánchez | St. Louis Cardinals | 5.7 | 7 | +1.3 | |
| Bryce Miller | Chicago Cubs | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 | On Target |
| José Soriano | New York Yankees | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 | |
| Foster Griffin | Colorado Rockies | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 | On Target |
| Yusei Kikuchi | Texas Rangers | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 | On Target |
| Carlos Rodón | Toronto Blue Jays | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 | |
| Kyle Leahy | Philadelphia Phillies | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 | On Target |
| Jake Bennett | San Francisco Giants | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 | |
| Nick Martinez | Baltimore Orioles | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 | On Target |
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Cal Quantrill — proj 5.8, recorded 6
- Cristopher Sánchez — proj 5.7, recorded 7
- José Soriano — proj 5.3, recorded 7
Biggest Surprises
- Cristian Javier — proj 3.3, recorded 8
- Andrew Abbott — proj 3.4, recorded 6
See today's slate the same way
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