Matchup History

MLB Intel

Today’s MLB game environments, pitcher matchups, and team-level scoring outlook.

MLB Intel

Top Game Environments

Today’s strongest MLB run environments from the EdgeRanked simulation engine.

Env98.0
High Scoring Environment
Tampa Bay Rays 8.6 – Toronto Blue Jays 7.8
Rogers Centre · Mild, breezy (11 mph S) · retractable roof
Projected Runs16.4High Score Rate87.0%Close Game16.0%Blowout41.0%
Env85.0
High Scoring Environment
Kansas City Royals 4.5 – Detroit Tigers 9.2
Comerica Park · Warm, calm
Projected Runs13.8High Score Rate76.0%Close Game13.0%Blowout52.0%
Env81.0
High Scoring Environment
Arizona Diamondbacks 7.0 – St. Louis Cardinals 6.2
Busch Stadium · Warm, calm
Projected Runs13.2High Score Rate72.0%Close Game16.0%Blowout36.0%
Env57.0
Power-Friendly Environment
San Diego Padres 2.7 – Atlanta Braves 6.4
Truist Park · Hot, calm
Projected Runs9.1High Score Rate44.0%Close Game18.0%Blowout38.0%
Env31.0
Pitching Environment
Minnesota Twins 1.8 – Cleveland Guardians 3.5
Progressive Field · Warm, breezy (10 mph N) · retractable roof
Projected Runs5.3High Score Rate11.0%Close Game25.0%Blowout21.0%
MLB Intel

Pitcher Attack Board

Starting pitchers in the toughest run environments today.

Score96.0
Power Risk · High Scoring Environment
Randy Dobnak
Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers
IP3.5K3.6Opp Runs9.2K%11.3%
Score92.0
Power Risk · High Scoring Environment
Michael McGreevy
St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks
IP4.7K4.4Opp Runs7.0K%16.6%
Score92.0
Opener Risk · High Scoring Environment
Casey Legumina
Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays
IP1.0K2.6Opp Runs7.8K%16.5%
Score91.0
Power Risk · High Scoring Environment
Brandon Pfaadt
Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals
IP4.8K4.4Opp Runs6.2K%17.3%
Score91.0
Power Risk · High Scoring Environment
Shane Bieber
Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays
IP4.2K4.0Opp Runs8.6K%17.6%
Score82.0
Opener Risk · Power-Friendly Environment
Kyle Hart
San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves
IP1.0K2.8Opp Runs6.4K%20.9%
Score81.0
Power Risk · High Scoring Environment
Troy Melton
Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals
IP5.2K5.7Opp Runs4.5K%23.6%
Score56.0
Power Risk · Power-Friendly Environment
Chris Sale
Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres
IP5.4K7.2Opp Runs2.7K%29.7%
Score48.0
Volatile Role · Pitching Environment
Taj Bradley
Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians
IP5.0K5.4Opp Runs3.5K%27.0%
Score30.0
Pitching Environment · Pitching Environment
Gavin Williams
Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins
IP5.5K5.5Opp Runs1.8K%30.5%
MLB Intel

Top 10 Power Spots

Hitters with the strongest home-run probabilities in plus run environments.

Score99.0
Power Spot · High Scoring Environment
Junior Caminero
Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays · vs Shane Bieber
Hit60.4%2+ TB48.0%HR15.1%RBI28.8%
Score99.0
Power Spot · High Scoring Environment
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays · vs Casey Legumina
Hit62.6%2+ TB34.6%HR17.2%RBI26.6%
Score99.0
Power Spot · High Scoring Environment
Kazuma Okamoto
Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays · vs Casey Legumina
Hit50.9%2+ TB30.1%HR24.1%RBI20.7%
Score96.0
Power Spot · High Scoring Environment
Riley Greene
Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals · vs Randy Dobnak
Hit62.3%2+ TB42.9%HR17.9%RBI27.2%
Score94.0
Power Spot · High Scoring Environment
Salvador Perez
Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers · vs Troy Melton
Hit56.2%2+ TB29.3%HR18.9%RBI22.8%
Score94.0
Power Spot · High Scoring Environment
Jordan Walker
St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks · vs Brandon Pfaadt
Hit58.4%2+ TB36.4%HR17.1%RBI23.8%BvP · 2-for-11, 0 HR, .182 · small sample
Score94.0
Power Spot · High Scoring Environment
Alec Burleson
St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks · vs Brandon Pfaadt
Hit62.2%2+ TB37.2%HR18.6%RBI23.5%BvP · 2-for-10, 0 HR, .200 · small sample
Score93.0
Power Spot · High Scoring Environment
Carter Jensen
Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers · vs Troy Melton
Hit51.7%2+ TB31.1%HR18.6%RBI21.7%
Score91.0
Power Spot · High Scoring Environment
Corbin Carroll
Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals · vs Michael McGreevy
Hit57.4%2+ TB32.6%HR16.3%RBI23.0%
Score87.0
Power Spot · Power-Friendly Environment
Fernando Tatis Jr.
San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves · vs Chris Sale
Hit65.0%2+ TB39.2%HR18.6%RBI27.6%BvP · 4-for-12, 1 HR, .333 · small sample
MLB Intel

Team Run Environments

Teams carrying the strongest simulated scoring outlook today.

Score100.0
Team Stack Trio · High Scoring Environment
Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays
Team Runs7.8Total16.4
  • Kazuma Okamoto · HR 24.1%
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. · HR 17.2%
  • George Springer · HR 13.6%
Score94.0
Team Stack Trio · High Scoring Environment
St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Team Runs6.2Total13.2
  • Alec Burleson · HR 18.6%
  • Jordan Walker · HR 17.1%
  • JJ Wetherholt · HR 12.4%
Score93.0
Team Stack Trio · High Scoring Environment
Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals
Team Runs9.2Total13.8
  • Riley Greene · HR 17.9%
  • Dillon Dingler · HR 12.9%
  • Kevin McGonigle · HR 11.0%
Score91.0
Team Stack Trio · Power-Friendly Environment
Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres
Team Runs6.4Total9.1
  • Matt Olson · HR 17.8%
  • Michael Harris II · HR 18.5%
  • Austin Riley · HR 18.6%
Score90.0
Team Stack Trio · High Scoring Environment
Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays
Team Runs8.6Total16.4
  • Junior Caminero · HR 15.1%
  • Victor Mesa Jr. · HR 12.9%
  • Yandy Díaz · HR 7.1%
Score88.0
Team Stack Trio · High Scoring Environment
Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals
Team Runs7.0Total13.2
  • Corbin Carroll · HR 16.3%
  • Gabriel Moreno · HR 9.6%
  • Max Kepler · HR 8.6%
Score83.0
Team Stack Trio · High Scoring Environment
Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers
Team Runs4.5Total13.8
  • Salvador Perez · HR 18.9%
  • Carter Jensen · HR 18.6%
  • Lane Thomas · HR 10.6%
Score65.0
Power Stack · Pitching Environment
Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins
Team Runs3.5Total5.3
  • José Ramírez · HR 18.6%
  • Chase DeLauter · HR 15.6%
  • Rhys Hoskins · HR 18.6%
Score58.0
Power Stack · Power-Friendly Environment
San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves
Team Runs2.7Total9.1
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. · HR 18.6%
  • Ty France · HR 13.4%
  • Manny Machado · HR 12.2%
Score51.0
Power Stack · Pitching Environment
Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians
Team Runs1.8Total5.3
  • Byron Buxton · HR 24.1%
  • Royce Lewis · HR 21.6%
  • Josh Bell · HR 17.2%