MLB Results — August 24, 2026

MLB Model Results — August 24, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Logan Gilbert 31.1% No Home Run

#2 Heriberto Hernández— · vs Ranger Suarez 30.0% No Home Run

#3 Royce Lewis— · vs Jeffrey Springs 26.2% No Home Run

#4 Byron Buxton— · vs Jeffrey Springs 26.2% No Home Run

#5 Zach Neto— · vs Parker Messick 26.2% No Home Run

#6 Michael Conforto— · vs Merrill Kelly 25.2% Home Run

#7 Pete Crow-Armstrong— · vs Merrill Kelly 25.2% No Home Run

#8 Brandon Lowe— · vs Robbie Ray 24.2% No Home Run

#9 Andrew Benintendi— · vs Kumar Rocker 23.9% No Home Run

#10 Joc Pederson— · vs José Urquidy 23.9% No Home Run

#11 Mickey Moniak— · vs Cade Cavalli 23.9% No Home Run

#12 Owen Caissie— · vs Ranger Suarez 23.8% No Home Run

#13 Munetaka MurakamiChicago White Sox · vs Kumar Rocker 23.8% No Home Run

#14 Corbin Carroll— · vs Kevin Gausman 23.8% No Home Run

#15 Dominic Canzone— · vs Zack Wheeler 23.8% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Zack Wheelervs Seattle Mariners 7.3 4 -3.3

Parker Messickvs Los Angeles Angels 7.2 4 -3.2

Braxton Ashcraftvs San Diego Padres 6.4 2 -4.4

Logan Gilbertvs Philadelphia Phillies 6.3 5 -1.3

Cade Cavallivs Colorado Rockies 6.1 7 +0.9On target

Chase Burnsvs San Francisco Giants 6.0 5 -1.0

Robbie Rayvs Pittsburgh Pirates 5.0 5 -0.0On target

Ranger Suarezvs Miami Marlins 4.9 4 -0.9On target

Kumar Rockervs Chicago White Sox 4.8 8 +3.2

Sandy Alcantaravs Boston Red Sox 4.8 6 +1.2

Kevin Gausmanvs Arizona Diamondbacks 4.7 6 +1.3

Zebby Matthewsvs Athletics 4.7 7 +2.3

George Klassenvs Cleveland Guardians 4.1 3 -1.1

Framber Valdezvs Tampa Bay Rays 3.7 0 -3.7

Drew Rasmussenvs Detroit Tigers 3.7 5 +1.3

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Yandy Díaz— · vs Framber Valdez 62.4% Hit

Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Braxton Ashcraft 62.2% No Hit

Elly De La Cruz— · vs Carson Whisenhunt 62.1% Hit

CJ Abrams— · vs Ryan Feltner 61.8% Hit

Seiya Suzuki— · vs Merrill Kelly 61.0% Hit

Oneil Cruz— · vs Robbie Ray 60.9% No Hit

Byron Buxton— · vs Jeffrey Springs 60.7% Hit

Pete Crow-Armstrong— · vs Merrill Kelly 60.7% No Hit

Bryce Harper— · vs Logan Gilbert 60.6% Hit

Bryan Reynolds— · vs Robbie Ray 60.6% Hit

Rafael Devers— · vs Chase Burns 60.3% Hit

Zack Gelof— · vs Zebby Matthews 60.3% Hit

Ian Happ— · vs Merrill Kelly 60.3% Hit

Kyle Schwarber— · vs Logan Gilbert 59.9% No Hit

Zach Neto— · vs Parker Messick 59.9% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Michael Conforto — 25.2% HR probability
Cal Raleigh — 23.8% HR probability
Rafael Devers — 18.5% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Cade Cavalli — proj 6.1, recorded 7
Kumar Rocker — proj 4.8, recorded 8
Sandy Alcantara — proj 4.8, recorded 6

Biggest Surprises

Braxton Ashcraft — proj 6.4, recorded 2
Framber Valdez — proj 3.7, recorded 0

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Michael Conforto. Model HR probability 25.2% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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