MLB Model Results — August 24, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | Seattle Mariners | 7.3 | 4 | -3.3 | |
| Parker Messick | Los Angeles Angels | 7.2 | 4 | -3.2 | |
| Braxton Ashcraft | San Diego Padres | 6.4 | 2 | -4.4 | |
| Logan Gilbert | Philadelphia Phillies | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 | |
| Cade Cavalli | Colorado Rockies | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 | On Target |
| Chase Burns | San Francisco Giants | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 | |
| Robbie Ray | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5.0 | 5 | -0.0 | On Target |
| Ranger Suarez | Miami Marlins | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 | On Target |
| Kumar Rocker | Chicago White Sox | 4.8 | 8 | +3.2 | |
| Sandy Alcantara | Boston Red Sox | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 | |
| Kevin Gausman | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 | |
| Zebby Matthews | Athletics | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 | |
| George Klassen | Cleveland Guardians | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 | |
| Framber Valdez | Tampa Bay Rays | 3.7 | 0 | -3.7 | |
| Drew Rasmussen | Detroit Tigers | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Cade Cavalli — proj 6.1, recorded 7
- Kumar Rocker — proj 4.8, recorded 8
- Sandy Alcantara — proj 4.8, recorded 6
Biggest Surprises
- Braxton Ashcraft — proj 6.4, recorded 2
- Framber Valdez — proj 3.7, recorded 0
See today's slate the same way
This is a graded past slate. EdgeRanked publishes the same home run, strikeout, and hit probability analysis for today's games before first pitch.
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