Hitter projections graded
7,310
Of 9,517 archived since 2026-03-26; last graded 2026-06-09.
Accuracy Center
How we verify our projections
Every tracked prediction is archived before games begin, then compared against final results after games complete.
The numbers below are read directly from our tracking and validation files — the same artifacts our internal monitoring uses. Nothing on this page is estimated or back-filled.
MLB
MLB Accuracy
Daily hitter and pitcher projections graded against final box scores.
Pitcher strikeout projection error
±1.82 Ks
Average miss vs final box score across 767 graded starts; last graded 2026-06-09.
Tracking freshness
2026-06-10
Most recent tracked date; current as of the latest completed slate.
NBA
NBA Walk-Forward Validation
The projection model is tested on past dates it never trained on — no look-ahead.
Validation status
PASS
Walk-forward audit generated 2026-06-09 across 21 held-out windows.
Player-games evaluated
23,184
Season dataset from 2025-11-09 to 2026-06-05.
Points projection error
±4.21 pts
Average miss per player on the most recent held-out window the model never trained on.
WNBA
WNBA Validation Status
Graded predictions, plus the daily pipeline checks that gate publishing.
Verified accuracy, last 30 days
57.1%
1,073 stat-line predictions graded against final box scores; last graded 2026-06-09.
Season verified results
613–460
Correct–incorrect across 1,095 graded predictions (22 landed exactly on the line and are excluded), 2026-05-08 to 2026-06-09.
Daily pipeline validation
PASS
Slate 2026-06-10: outputs publish only after slate and freshness checks pass.
Membership
See the full boards behind these numbers
Pro members get the complete daily projection boards across MLB, NBA, WNBA, PGA, and UFC.