MLB Results — August 27, 2026

MLB Model Results — August 27, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Jac Caglianone— · vs Spencer Arrighetti 30.8% Home Run

#2 Coby Mayo— · vs Unknown Pitcher 30.1% Home Run

#3 Kazuma Okamoto— · vs Noah Cameron 28.0% No Home Run

#4 Coby Mayo— · vs Gordon Graceffo 25.2% Home Run

#5 Trent Grisham— · vs Hayden Wesneski 25.0% No Home Run

#6 Salvador Perez— · vs Spencer Arrighetti 24.4% No Home Run

#7 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Chris Sale 23.9% No Home Run

#8 Matt Olson— · vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto 23.8% No Home Run

#9 Francisco Lindor— · vs Jacob Misiorowski 23.8% No Home Run

#10 Heliot Ramos— · vs Hayden Wesneski 23.8% No Home Run

#11 Alec Burleson— · vs Trevor Rogers 23.2% No Home Run

#12 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Gerrit Cole 21.6% No Home Run

#13 Pete Alonso— · vs Gordon Graceffo 18.8% No Home Run

#14 Jordan Walker— · vs Trevor Rogers 18.7% No Home Run

#15 Carter Jensen— · vs Spencer Arrighetti 18.7% Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Jacob Misiorowskivs New York Mets 9.2 6 -3.2

Gerrit Colevs Houston Astros 6.3 5 -1.3

Yoshinobu Yamamotovs Atlanta Braves 6.3 8 +1.7

Sean Manaeavs Milwaukee Brewers 6.2 3 -3.2

Chris Salevs Los Angeles Dodgers 6.2 11 +4.8

Noah Cameronvs Toronto Blue Jays 5.1 3 -2.1

Hayden Wesneskivs New York Yankees 5.0 6 +1.0

Trevor Rogersvs St. Louis Cardinals 4.9 7 +2.1

Jake Irvinvs Colorado Rockies 4.4 6 +1.6

Landen Rouppvs Arizona Diamondbacks 4.3 3 -1.3

Spencer Arrighettivs Kansas City Royals 4.0 4 -0.0On target

Gabriel Hughesvs Washington Nationals 3.5 3 -0.5On target

Jose Cabreravs San Francisco Giants 2.7 4 +1.3

Gordon Graceffovs Baltimore Orioles 1.1 4 +2.9

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Rafael Devers— · vs Jose Cabrera 63.3% Hit

Yordan Alvarez— · vs Gerrit Cole 62.9% No Hit

Shohei Ohtani— · vs Chris Sale 61.7% No Hit

CJ Abrams— · vs Gabriel Hughes 61.6% Hit

Pete Alonso— · vs Gordon Graceffo 60.8% No Hit

Ben Rice— · vs Hayden Wesneski 60.5% Hit

Iván Herrera— · vs Trevor Rogers 60.2% No Hit

Gunnar Henderson— · vs Gordon Graceffo 60.2% Hit

Luis García Jr.— · vs Hayden Wesneski 60.0% No Hit

Willi Castro— · vs Jake Irvin 59.9% Hit

Bobby Witt Jr.— · vs Spencer Arrighetti 59.9% Hit

Andrew Vaughn— · vs Sean Manaea 59.9% Hit

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.— · vs Noah Cameron 59.3% No Hit

Brett Baty— · vs Jacob Misiorowski 59.2% No Hit

TJ Rumfield— · vs Jake Irvin 58.9% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Jac Caglianone — 30.8% HR probability
Coby Mayo — 30.1% HR probability
Coby Mayo — 25.2% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Yoshinobu Yamamoto — proj 6.3, recorded 8
Chris Sale — proj 6.2, recorded 11
Hayden Wesneski — proj 5.0, recorded 6

Biggest Surprises

Chris Sale — proj 6.2, recorded 11
Jacob Misiorowski — proj 9.2, recorded 6

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Jac Caglianone. Model HR probability 30.8% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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