MLB Model Results — August 27, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | New York Mets | 9.2 | 6 | -3.2 | |
| Gerrit Cole | Houston Astros | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 | |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Atlanta Braves | 6.3 | 8 | +1.7 | |
| Sean Manaea | Milwaukee Brewers | 6.2 | 3 | -3.2 | |
| Chris Sale | Los Angeles Dodgers | 6.2 | 11 | +4.8 | |
| Noah Cameron | Toronto Blue Jays | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 | |
| Hayden Wesneski | New York Yankees | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 | |
| Trevor Rogers | St. Louis Cardinals | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 | |
| Jake Irvin | Colorado Rockies | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 | |
| Landen Roupp | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 | |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Kansas City Royals | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 | On Target |
| Gabriel Hughes | Washington Nationals | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 | On Target |
| Jose Cabrera | San Francisco Giants | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 | |
| Gordon Graceffo | Baltimore Orioles | 1.1 | 4 | +2.9 |
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto — proj 6.3, recorded 8
- Chris Sale — proj 6.2, recorded 11
- Hayden Wesneski — proj 5.0, recorded 6
Biggest Surprises
- Chris Sale — proj 6.2, recorded 11
- Jacob Misiorowski — proj 9.2, recorded 6
See today's slate the same way
This is a graded past slate. EdgeRanked publishes the same home run, strikeout, and hit probability analysis for today's games before first pitch.
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