MLB Model Results — August 26, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesús Luzardo | Seattle Mariners | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 | |
| Sean Burke | Texas Rangers | 6.6 | 3 | -3.6 | |
| MacKenzie Gore | Chicago White Sox | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 | |
| Bryan Woo | Philadelphia Phillies | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 | On Target |
| Connor Prielipp | Athletics | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 | On Target |
| Logan Webb | Cincinnati Reds | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 | On Target |
| Sonny Gray | Miami Marlins | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 | On Target |
| Joey Cantillo | Los Angeles Angels | 5.7 | 1 | -4.7 | |
| Peter Lambert | New York Yankees | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 | On Target |
| Dustin May | New York Mets | 5.1 | 0 | -5.1 | |
| Michael McGreevy | Baltimore Orioles | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 | |
| J.T. Ginn | Minnesota Twins | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 | |
| Freddy Peralta | Detroit Tigers | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 | On Target |
| Kyle Bradish | St. Louis Cardinals | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 | On Target |
| Bubba Chandler | San Diego Padres | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Jesús Luzardo — proj 7.6, recorded 9
- Logan Webb — proj 5.8, recorded 6
- Eduardo Rodriguez — proj 4.4, recorded 9
Biggest Surprises
- Dustin May — proj 5.1, recorded 0
- Joey Cantillo — proj 5.7, recorded 1
See today's slate the same way
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