MLB Results — August 28, 2026

MLB Model Results — August 28, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Coby Mayo— · vs Jacob Lopez 31.4% No Home Run

#2 Hunter Goodman— · vs Grant Holmes 31.1% No Home Run

#3 Jac Caglianone— · vs Tanner Bibee 30.8% No Home Run

#4 Coby Mayo— · vs Unknown Pitcher 30.8% No Home Run

#5 Zach Neto— · vs Andrew Painter 29.0% No Home Run

#6 Nolan Gorman— · vs Jared Jones 27.0% No Home Run

#7 Kazuma Okamoto— · vs Emerson Hancock 26.6% Home Run

#8 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Reid Detmers 26.2% No Home Run

#9 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Drew Anderson 26.2% No Home Run

#10 Salvador Perez— · vs Tanner Bibee 26.2% No Home Run

#11 Brandon Lowe— · vs Quinn Mathews 25.0% No Home Run

#12 Kazuma Okamoto— · vs Unknown Pitcher 24.2% Home Run

#13 Royce Lewis— · vs Luis Castillo 24.2% No Home Run

#14 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Christian Scott 24.1% No Home Run

#15 Michael Conforto— · vs Rhett Lowder 24.1% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Dylan Ceasevs Seattle Mariners 8.7 8 -0.7On target

Tarik Skubalvs Detroit Tigers 7.5 7 -0.5On target

Logan Hendersonvs Texas Rangers 7.4 7 -0.4On target

Cam Schlittlervs Boston Red Sox 7.2 8 +0.8On target

Eury Pérezvs Washington Nationals 6.0 5 -1.0

Jacob Lopezvs Baltimore Orioles 6.0 6 +0.0On target

David Petersonvs Cincinnati Reds 6.0 6 +0.0On target

Christian Scottvs Houston Astros 5.9 2 -3.9

Dean Kremervs Chicago White Sox 5.8 3 -2.8

Hunter Brownvs New York Mets 5.6 10 +4.4

Patrick Sandovalvs New York Yankees 5.5 7 +1.5

Andrew Paintervs Los Angeles Angels 5.4 6 +0.6On target

Reid Detmersvs Philadelphia Phillies 5.2 2 -3.2

Michael Wachavs Cleveland Guardians 4.9 10 +5.1

Jared Jonesvs St. Louis Cardinals 4.9 6 +1.1

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Shane McClanahan 64.4% Hit

Shohei Ohtani— · vs Drew Anderson 62.3% No Hit

Yordan Alvarez— · vs Christian Scott 62.2% No Hit

Rafael Devers— · vs Kohl Drake 61.7% Hit

Oneil Cruz— · vs Quinn Mathews 61.6% Hit

Brett Baty— · vs Hunter Brown 61.5% No Hit

Paul Goldschmidt— · vs Patrick Sandoval 61.5% Hit

Bryce Harper— · vs Reid Detmers 61.4% Hit

Pete Alonso— · vs Jacob Lopez 61.2% No Hit

Jake Bauers— · vs Cody Bradford 61.2% Hit

Kyle Schwarber— · vs Reid Detmers 61.0% Hit

Bryan Reynolds— · vs Quinn Mathews 60.9% No Hit

Elly De La Cruz— · vs David Peterson 60.9% Hit

Ben Rice— · vs Patrick Sandoval 60.8% Hit

Seiya Suzuki— · vs Rhett Lowder 60.7% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Kazuma Okamoto — 26.6% HR probability
Kazuma Okamoto — 24.2% HR probability
Kody Clemens — 23.8% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Cam Schlittler — proj 7.2, recorded 8
Jacob Lopez — proj 6.0, recorded 6
David Peterson — proj 6.0, recorded 6

Biggest Surprises

Michael Wacha — proj 4.9, recorded 10
Hunter Brown — proj 5.6, recorded 10

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Kazuma Okamoto. Model HR probability 26.6% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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