MLB Model Results — August 28, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | Seattle Mariners | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 | On Target |
| Tarik Skubal | Detroit Tigers | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 | On Target |
| Logan Henderson | Texas Rangers | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 | On Target |
| Cam Schlittler | Boston Red Sox | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 | On Target |
| Eury Pérez | Washington Nationals | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 | |
| Jacob Lopez | Baltimore Orioles | 6.0 | 6 | +0.0 | On Target |
| David Peterson | Cincinnati Reds | 6.0 | 6 | +0.0 | On Target |
| Christian Scott | Houston Astros | 5.9 | 2 | -3.9 | |
| Dean Kremer | Chicago White Sox | 5.8 | 3 | -2.8 | |
| Hunter Brown | New York Mets | 5.6 | 10 | +4.4 | |
| Patrick Sandoval | New York Yankees | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 | |
| Andrew Painter | Los Angeles Angels | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 | On Target |
| Reid Detmers | Philadelphia Phillies | 5.2 | 2 | -3.2 | |
| Michael Wacha | Cleveland Guardians | 4.9 | 10 | +5.1 | |
| Jared Jones | St. Louis Cardinals | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Cam Schlittler — proj 7.2, recorded 8
- Jacob Lopez — proj 6.0, recorded 6
- David Peterson — proj 6.0, recorded 6
Biggest Surprises
- Michael Wacha — proj 4.9, recorded 10
- Hunter Brown — proj 5.6, recorded 10
See today's slate the same way
This is a graded past slate. EdgeRanked publishes the same home run, strikeout, and hit probability analysis for today's games before first pitch.
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