Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — August 14, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
14
Games covered
396
Hitters evaluated
28
Pitchers evaluated
August 14, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Burns | Miami Marlins | 6.7 | 8 | +1.3 | |
| Chris Sale | Arizona Diamondbacks | 6.4 | 9 | +2.6 | |
| Gavin Williams | San Diego Padres | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 | |
| Gerrit Cole | Toronto Blue Jays | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 | On Target |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Milwaukee Brewers | 5.9 | 9 | +3.1 | |
| Sandy Alcantara | Cincinnati Reds | 5.7 | 2 | -3.7 | |
| Peter Lambert | Seattle Mariners | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 | On Target |
| Andrew Alvarez | New York Mets | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 | |
| George Kirby | Houston Astros | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 | |
| Michael King | Cleveland Guardians | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 | |
| Kumar Rocker | Athletics | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 | |
| Matthew Liberatore | Chicago Cubs | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 | |
| Landen Roupp | Colorado Rockies | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 | On Target |
| Kyle Freeland | San Francisco Giants | 4.7 | 2 | -2.7 | |
| Brandon Pfaadt | Atlanta Braves | 4.5 | 7 | +2.5 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Chase Burns — proj 6.7, recorded 8
- Chris Sale — proj 6.4, recorded 9
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto — proj 5.9, recorded 9
Biggest Surprises
- Robert Gasser — proj 2.6, recorded 7
- Sandy Alcantara — proj 5.7, recorded 2
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Chase Burns. Projected 6.7 strikeouts — recorded 8.
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