MLB Results

MLB Model Results — August 14, 2026

Home run threat, strikeout, and hit probability results for this MLB slate.

Slate Summary

MLB Model Results — August 14, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

14
Games covered
396
Hitters evaluated
28
Pitchers evaluated
August 14, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

No graded home run projections are available for this slate.

Strikeouts

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

PitcherOpponentProjected KsActual KsDifference
Chase BurnsMiami Marlins6.78+1.3
Chris SaleArizona Diamondbacks6.49+2.6
Gavin WilliamsSan Diego Padres6.35-1.3
Gerrit ColeToronto Blue Jays6.05-1.0On Target
Yoshinobu YamamotoMilwaukee Brewers5.99+3.1
Sandy AlcantaraCincinnati Reds5.72-3.7
Peter LambertSeattle Mariners5.66+0.4On Target
Andrew AlvarezNew York Mets5.44-1.4
George KirbyHouston Astros5.12-3.1
Michael KingCleveland Guardians5.14-1.1
Kumar RockerAthletics5.03-2.0
Matthew LiberatoreChicago Cubs4.96+1.1
Landen RouppColorado Rockies4.85+0.2On Target
Kyle FreelandSan Francisco Giants4.72-2.7
Brandon PfaadtAtlanta Braves4.57+2.5
Hit Probability

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

No graded hit projections are available for this slate.

Model Highlights

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Strikeout Calls

Biggest Surprises

Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Chase Burns. Projected 6.7 strikeouts — recorded 8.
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