Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — August 15, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
16
Games covered
405
Hitters evaluated
31
Pitchers evaluated
August 15, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesús Luzardo | Minnesota Twins | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 | |
| Jacob Misiorowski | Los Angeles Dodgers | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 | On Target |
| Sean Manaea | Washington Nationals | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 | On Target |
| MacKenzie Gore | Athletics | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 | |
| Cam Schlittler | Toronto Blue Jays | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 | |
| Connor Prielipp | Philadelphia Phillies | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 | On Target |
| Reid Detmers | Kansas City Royals | 5.8 | 11 | +5.2 | |
| Troy Melton | Chicago White Sox | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 | |
| Sonny Gray | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5.7 | 7 | +1.3 | |
| J.T. Ginn | Texas Rangers | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 | |
| Logan Webb | Colorado Rockies | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 | |
| Jared Jones | Boston Red Sox | 5.1 | 7 | +1.9 | |
| Ryan Gusto | Cincinnati Reds | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 | |
| Joey Cantillo | San Diego Padres | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 | |
| Hayden Wesneski | Seattle Mariners | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Jesús Luzardo — proj 7.7, recorded 9
- Sean Manaea — proj 6.3, recorded 7
- Cam Schlittler — proj 5.9, recorded 7
Biggest Surprises
- Ian Seymour — proj 3.8, recorded 9
- Reid Detmers — proj 5.8, recorded 11
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Jesús Luzardo. Projected 7.7 strikeouts — recorded 9.
Explore More