MLB Results — June 27, 2026

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MLB Model Results — June 27, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr.— · vs Cal Quantrill 21.3% No Home Run

#2 Hunter Goodman— · vs Mike Paredes 21.3% Home Run

#3 Bryce Harper— · vs Christian Scott 21.2% Home Run

#4 Byron Buxton— · vs Michael Lorenzen 21.2% No Home Run

#5 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Christian Scott 21.1% No Home Run

#6 Juan Soto— · vs Tim Mayza 21.1% No Home Run

#7 Colson Montgomery— · vs Michael Wacha 20.9% No Home Run

#8 Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays · vs Jose Cabrera 20.8% Home Run

#9 Ketel Marte— · vs Cole Sulser 20.6% Home Run

#10 Christian Walker— · vs Framber Valdez 20.4% No Home Run

#11 Cal Raleigh— · vs Slade Cecconi 20.2% No Home Run

#12 Brandon Lowe— · vs Chase Burns 20.1% Home Run

#13 Corey Seager— · vs Dylan Cease 20.0% Home Run

#14 Mark Vientos— · vs Tim Mayza 19.9% No Home Run

#15 Francisco Lindor— · vs Tim Mayza 19.7% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Dylan Ceasevs Texas Rangers 8.0 10 +2.0

Chase Burnsvs Pittsburgh Pirates 7.2 10 +2.8

Logan Gilbertvs Cleveland Guardians 5.7 7 +1.3

Yoshinobu Yamamotovs San Diego Padres 5.6 4 -1.6

Reid Detmersvs Athletics 5.5 8 +2.5

Foster Griffinvs Baltimore Orioles 5.5 9 +3.5

Christian Scottvs Philadelphia Phillies 5.2 6 +0.8On target

Davis Martinvs Kansas City Royals 5.2 3 -2.2

Kyle Harrisonvs Chicago Cubs 5.2 9 +3.8

Logan Webbvs Atlanta Braves 5.1 6 +0.9On target

Gerrit Colevs Boston Red Sox 4.8 5 +0.2On target

Kai-Wei Tengvs Detroit Tigers 4.3 1 -3.3

Bryce Eldervs San Francisco Giants 4.1 4 -0.1On target

Jake Bennettvs New York Yankees 4.1 3 -1.1

Andre Pallantevs Miami Marlins 3.9 4 +0.1On target

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Shohei Ohtani— · vs Randy Vásquez 62.3% Hit

Paul Goldschmidt— · vs Jake Bennett 62.3% No Hit

Bryce Harper— · vs Christian Scott 61.9% Hit

Brandon Marsh— · vs Christian Scott 61.6% Hit

Byron Buxton— · vs Michael Lorenzen 61.3% No Hit

Kyle Schwarber— · vs Christian Scott 61.2% No Hit

Yandy DíazTampa Bay Rays · vs Jose Cabrera 61.2% Hit

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.— · vs Cal Quantrill 61.1% No Hit

Andrew Vaughn— · vs David Peterson 61.1% No Hit

CJ Abrams— · vs Brandon Young 61.0% No Hit

Ben Rice— · vs Jake Bennett 60.9% No Hit

Wilyer Abreu— · vs Gerrit Cole 60.8% No Hit

Juan Soto— · vs Tim Mayza 60.8% Hit

TJ Rumfield— · vs Mike Paredes 60.5% Hit

Mickey Moniak— · vs Mike Paredes 60.5% No Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Hunter Goodman — 21.3% HR probability
Bryce Harper — 21.2% HR probability
Junior Caminero — 20.8% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Dylan Cease — proj 8.0, recorded 10
Chase Burns — proj 7.2, recorded 10
Logan Gilbert — proj 5.7, recorded 7

Biggest Surprises

Brandon Young — proj 3.9, recorded 8
Kyle Harrison — proj 5.2, recorded 9

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Hunter Goodman. Model HR probability 21.3% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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This is a graded past slate. EdgeRanked publishes the same home run, strikeout, and hit probability analysis for today's games before first pitch.

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