MLB Model Results — September 24, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Seymour | New York Yankees | 7.6 | 3 | -4.6 | |
| Tyler Glasnow | San Diego Padres | 7.2 | 11 | +3.8 | |
| Bryan Woo | Los Angeles Angels | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 | On Target |
| Tyler Mahle | Cincinnati Reds | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 | |
| Cam Schlittler | Tampa Bay Rays | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 | On Target |
| Paul Skenes | St. Louis Cardinals | 5.8 | 8 | +2.2 | |
| Shane Drohan | Philadelphia Phillies | 5.7 | 2 | -3.7 | |
| Peter Lambert | Athletics | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 | On Target |
| David Sandlin | Kansas City Royals | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 | |
| Nick Pivetta | Los Angeles Dodgers | 5.1 | 7 | +1.9 | |
| Ranger Suarez | Cleveland Guardians | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 | On Target |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Colorado Rockies | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 | |
| Zac Thornton | Texas Rangers | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 | On Target |
| Matthew Boyd | Miami Marlins | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 | |
| Andrew Painter | Milwaukee Brewers | 4.5 | 8 | +3.5 |
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Tyler Glasnow — proj 7.2, recorded 11
- Bryan Woo — proj 7.0, recorded 8
- Paul Skenes — proj 5.8, recorded 8
Biggest Surprises
- Mason Barnett — proj 1.2, recorded 8
- Ian Seymour — proj 7.6, recorded 3
See today's slate the same way
This is a graded past slate. EdgeRanked publishes the same home run, strikeout, and hit probability analysis for today's games before first pitch.
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