Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — August 9, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
16
Games covered
428
Hitters evaluated
32
Pitchers evaluated
August 9, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | Minnesota Twins | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 | On Target |
| Cam Schlittler | Atlanta Braves | 6.5 | 11 | +4.5 | |
| Jesús Luzardo | Toronto Blue Jays | 5.6 | 12 | +6.4 | |
| Joey Cantillo | Chicago White Sox | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 | |
| Connor Prielipp | Milwaukee Brewers | 5.2 | 7 | +1.8 | |
| Sean Manaea | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5.2 | 11 | +5.8 | |
| Kumar Rocker | Baltimore Orioles | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 | On Target |
| Jared Jones | New York Mets | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 | |
| Troy Melton | San Francisco Giants | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 | On Target |
| Emerson Hancock | Tampa Bay Rays | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 | |
| Justin Wrobleski | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 | |
| J.T. Ginn | Boston Red Sox | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 | |
| Logan Webb | Detroit Tigers | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 | |
| Matthew Boyd | Kansas City Royals | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 | |
| Cade Povich | Texas Rangers | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Jacob Misiorowski — proj 8.1, recorded 9
- Cam Schlittler — proj 6.5, recorded 11
- Jesús Luzardo — proj 5.6, recorded 12
Biggest Surprises
- Jesús Luzardo — proj 5.6, recorded 12
- Sean Manaea — proj 5.2, recorded 11
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Jacob Misiorowski. Projected 8.1 strikeouts — recorded 9.
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