MLB Results — August 8, 2026

MLB Model Results — August 8, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Kazuma Okamoto— · vs Aaron Nola 31.1% No Home Run

#2 Coby Mayo— · vs Jacob deGrom 31.1% No Home Run

#3 Royce Lewis— · vs Robert Gasser 28.4% No Home Run

#4 Hunter Goodman— · vs Matthew Liberatore 28.0% No Home Run

#5 Jahmai Jones— · vs Gage Jump 26.1% No Home Run

#6 Tyler O'Neill— · vs Jacob deGrom 25.9% No Home Run

#7 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Max Scherzer 25.3% No Home Run

#8 Jo Adell— · vs Anthony Kay 25.2% No Home Run

#9 Brandon Lowe— · vs Robert Stock 25.0% Home Run

#10 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Michael King 24.2% No Home Run

#11 Jackson Merrill— · vs Peter Lambert 24.2% Home Run

#12 Jac Caglianone— · vs Clay Holmes 24.1% Home Run

#13 Pete Alonso— · vs Jacob deGrom 23.9% No Home Run

#14 Heriberto Hernández— · vs Walbert Ureña 23.9% No Home Run

#15 Willy Adames— · vs Jackson Jobe 23.9% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Chris Salevs New York Yankees 7.4 8 +0.6On target

Kyle Bradishvs Texas Rangers 6.9 4 -2.9

Chase Burnsvs Washington Nationals 6.7 6 -0.7On target

Jacob deGromvs Baltimore Orioles 6.2 9 +2.8

Gerrit Colevs Atlanta Braves 5.8 9 +3.2

Taj Bradleyvs Milwaukee Brewers 5.6 7 +1.4

Peter Lambertvs San Diego Padres 5.6 3 -2.6

Gavin Williamsvs Chicago White Sox 5.5 7 +1.5

Gage Jumpvs Boston Red Sox 5.4 11 +5.6

Yoshinobu Yamamotovs Arizona Diamondbacks 5.1 6 +0.9On target

Matthew Liberatorevs Colorado Rockies 5.1 3 -2.1

Aaron Nolavs Toronto Blue Jays 5.1 8 +2.9

Walbert Ureñavs Miami Marlins 5.1 2 -3.1

Andrew Alvarezvs Cincinnati Reds 5.1 2 -3.1

Clay Holmesvs Kansas City Royals 4.9 1 -3.9

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Shohei Ohtani— · vs Brandon Pfaadt 64.5% Hit

Bryce Harper— · vs Max Scherzer 62.9% Hit

Yordan Alvarez— · vs Michael King 62.8% No Hit

Elly De La Cruz— · vs Andrew Alvarez 62.2% No Hit

Kyle Schwarber— · vs Max Scherzer 61.8% Hit

Brandon Marsh— · vs Max Scherzer 61.7% No Hit

Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Peter Lambert 61.7% Hit

Brett Baty— · vs Bubba Chandler 61.6% No Hit

Seiya Suzuki— · vs Seth Lugo 61.5% No Hit

Freddie Freeman— · vs Brandon Pfaadt 61.3% No Hit

CJ Abrams— · vs Chase Burns 60.9% Hit

Luis Arraez— · vs Max Scherzer 60.9% Hit

Rafael Devers— · vs Jackson Jobe 60.8% No Hit

Brandon Nimmo— · vs Kyle Bradish 60.8% Hit

Trea Turner— · vs Max Scherzer 60.8% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Brandon Lowe — 25.0% HR probability
Jackson Merrill — 24.2% HR probability
Jac Caglianone — 24.1% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Chris Sale — proj 7.4, recorded 8
Jacob deGrom — proj 6.2, recorded 9
Gerrit Cole — proj 5.8, recorded 9

Biggest Surprises

Gage Jump — proj 5.4, recorded 11
Clay Holmes — proj 4.9, recorded 1

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Brandon Lowe. Model HR probability 25.0% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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