MLB Results

MLB Model Results — August 10, 2026

Home run threat, strikeout, and hit probability results for this MLB slate.

Slate Summary

MLB Model Results — August 10, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

10
Games covered
263
Hitters evaluated
20
Pitchers evaluated
August 10, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

No graded home run projections are available for this slate.

Strikeouts

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

PitcherOpponentProjected KsActual KsDifference
Logan HendersonSan Diego Padres7.57-0.5On Target
Reid DetmersTexas Rangers6.76-0.7On Target
MacKenzie GoreLos Angeles Angels6.49+2.6
Christian ScottAtlanta Braves6.16-0.1On Target
Tarik SkubalKansas City Royals5.86+0.2On Target
Michael SorokaColorado Rockies5.44-1.4
Dean KremerBaltimore Orioles5.17+1.9
Noah CameronLos Angeles Dodgers5.02-3.0
Gabriel HughesArizona Diamondbacks5.03-2.0
Sonny GrayToronto Blue Jays4.94-0.9On Target
Hunter DobbinsPhiladelphia Phillies4.86+1.2
Casey MizeMilwaukee Brewers4.86+1.2
Trevor RogersMinnesota Twins4.54-0.5On Target
Bryce ElderNew York Mets4.44-0.4On Target
Jacob LopezTampa Bay Rays4.25+0.8On Target
Hit Probability

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

No graded hit projections are available for this slate.

Model Highlights

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Strikeout Calls

Biggest Surprises

Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: MacKenzie Gore. Projected 6.4 strikeouts — recorded 9.
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