Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — August 10, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
10
Games covered
263
Hitters evaluated
20
Pitchers evaluated
August 10, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Henderson | San Diego Padres | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 | On Target |
| Reid Detmers | Texas Rangers | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 | On Target |
| MacKenzie Gore | Los Angeles Angels | 6.4 | 9 | +2.6 | |
| Christian Scott | Atlanta Braves | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 | On Target |
| Tarik Skubal | Kansas City Royals | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 | On Target |
| Michael Soroka | Colorado Rockies | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 | |
| Dean Kremer | Baltimore Orioles | 5.1 | 7 | +1.9 | |
| Noah Cameron | Los Angeles Dodgers | 5.0 | 2 | -3.0 | |
| Gabriel Hughes | Arizona Diamondbacks | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 | |
| Sonny Gray | Toronto Blue Jays | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 | On Target |
| Hunter Dobbins | Philadelphia Phillies | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 | |
| Casey Mize | Milwaukee Brewers | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 | |
| Trevor Rogers | Minnesota Twins | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 | On Target |
| Bryce Elder | New York Mets | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 | On Target |
| Jacob Lopez | Tampa Bay Rays | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 | On Target |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- MacKenzie Gore — proj 6.4, recorded 9
- Tarik Skubal — proj 5.8, recorded 6
- Dean Kremer — proj 5.1, recorded 7
Biggest Surprises
- Noah Cameron — proj 5.0, recorded 2
- MacKenzie Gore — proj 6.4, recorded 9
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: MacKenzie Gore. Projected 6.4 strikeouts — recorded 9.
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