MLB Results — April 17, 2026

MLB Model Results — April 17, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Aaron Judge— · vs Michael Wacha 11.0% No Home Run

#2 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Martín Pérez 9.1% No Home Run

#3 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 8.4% No Home Run

#4 Giancarlo Stanton— · vs Michael Wacha 8.0% No Home Run

#5 Tyler Soderstrom— · vs Davis Martin 6.4% No Home Run

#6 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Kyle Leahy 6.1% Home Run

#7 Bryce Harper— · vs Martín Pérez 6.1% No Home Run

#8 Chase DeLauter— · vs Chris Bassitt 5.9% No Home Run

#9 Mike Trout— · vs Matt Waldron 5.6% No Home Run

#10 Shea Langeliers— · vs Davis Martin 5.6% No Home Run

#11 Pete Alonso— · vs Tanner Bibee 5.2% No Home Run

#12 James Wood— · vs Logan Webb 5.1% Home Run

#13 Teoscar Hernández— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 5.0% No Home Run

#14 Jordan Walker— · vs Peter Lambert 5.0% No Home Run

#15 Dillon Dingler— · vs Ranger Suarez 4.9% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Logan Gilbertvs Texas Rangers 6.0 7 +1.0On target

Jacob deGromvs Seattle Mariners 6.0 3 -3.0

José Sorianovs San Diego Padres 6.0 8 +2.0

Cam Schlittlervs Kansas City Royals 6.0 6 -0.0On target

Tyler Glasnowvs Colorado Rockies 6.0 7 +1.0On target

Joe Ryanvs Cincinnati Reds 6.0 6 -0.0On target

Michael Sorokavs Toronto Blue Jays 5.4 5 -0.4On target

Logan Webbvs Washington Nationals 5.4 6 +0.6On target

Edward Cabreravs New York Mets 5.4 4 -1.4

Bubba Chandlervs Tampa Bay Rays 4.6 3 -1.6

Michael Wachavs New York Yankees 4.6 6 +1.4

Kodai Sengavs Chicago Cubs 4.4 3 -1.4

Peter Lambertvs St. Louis Cardinals 4.4 8 +3.6

Davis Martinvs Athletics 4.4 4 -0.4On target

Eric Lauervs Arizona Diamondbacks 4.4 4 -0.4On target

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Nico Hoerner— · vs Kodai Senga 62.0% Hit

Bo Bichette— · vs Edward Cabrera 61.8% Hit

Daniel Schneemann— · vs Chris Bassitt 61.6% Hit

Steven Kwan— · vs Chris Bassitt 61.5% Hit

Carson Kelly— · vs Kodai Senga 61.0% Hit

Luis Robert Jr.— · vs Edward Cabrera 61.0% Hit

Moisés Ballesteros— · vs Kodai Senga 60.7% Hit

Angel Martínez— · vs Chris Bassitt 60.6% Hit

Chase DeLauter— · vs Chris Bassitt 60.4% Hit

Brett Baty— · vs Edward Cabrera 60.1% No Hit

José Ramírez— · vs Chris Bassitt 60.0% No Hit

Austin Martin— · vs Brandon Williamson 59.8% Hit

Francisco Alvarez— · vs Edward Cabrera 59.7% Hit

Freddie Freeman— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 59.5% Hit

Casey Schmitt— · vs Zack Littell 59.4% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Yordan Alvarez — 6.1% HR probability
James Wood — 5.1% HR probability
Munetaka Murakami — 4.8% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Logan Gilbert — proj 6.0, recorded 7
José Soriano — proj 6.0, recorded 8
Tyler Glasnow — proj 6.0, recorded 7

Biggest Surprises

Peter Lambert — proj 4.4, recorded 8
Jacob deGrom — proj 6.0, recorded 3

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Yordan Alvarez. Model HR probability 6.1% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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