MLB Results — April 22, 2026

MLB Model Results — April 22, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Luke Raley— · vs Aaron Civale 5.1% No Home Run

#2 Carlos Cortes— · vs Logan Gilbert 4.4% No Home Run

#3 J.P. Crawford— · vs Aaron Civale 2.7% No Home Run

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Peter Lambertvs Cleveland Guardians 6.5 8 +1.5

Braxton Ashcraftvs Texas Rangers 5.9 5 -0.9On target

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Carlos Cortes— · vs Logan Gilbert 58.6% Hit

Luke Raley— · vs Aaron Civale 57.7% No Hit

J.P. Crawford— · vs Aaron Civale 57.0% Hit

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Peter Lambert. Projected 6.5 strikeouts — recorded 8.

Live on EdgeRanked

This is a graded past slate. EdgeRanked publishes the same home run, strikeout, and hit probability analysis for today's games before first pitch.

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