MLB Results — April 7, 2026

MLB Model Results — April 7, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Aaron Judge— · vs Aaron Civale 9.1% No Home Run

#2 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Kyle Freeland 7.7% No Home Run

#3 Giancarlo Stanton— · vs Aaron Civale 7.6% No Home Run

#4 Shea Langeliers— · vs Cam Schlittler 7.6% No Home Run

#5 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Robbie Ray 7.3% No Home Run

#6 Tyler Soderstrom— · vs Cam Schlittler 7.1% No Home Run

#7 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Kevin Gausman 7.0% No Home Run

#8 Ramón Laureano— · vs Paul Skenes 6.4% No Home Run

#9 Christian Walker— · vs Kyle Freeland 5.9% Home Run

#10 Zach Neto— · vs Reynaldo López 5.7% No Home Run

#11 Drake Baldwin— · vs Yusei Kikuchi 5.7% No Home Run

#12 Munetaka Murakami— · vs Trevor Rogers 5.5% No Home Run

#13 James Wood— · vs Matthew Liberatore 5.1% Home Run

#14 Cal Raleigh— · vs Nathan Eovaldi 4.9% No Home Run

#15 Gunnar Henderson— · vs Shane Smith 4.8% Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Cam Schlittlervs Athletics 7.3 7 -0.3On target

Kevin Gausmanvs Los Angeles Dodgers 7.2 5 -2.2

Jacob Misiorowskivs Boston Red Sox 6.9 10 +3.1

Garrett Crochetvs Milwaukee Brewers 6.8 7 +0.2On target

Tarik Skubalvs Minnesota Twins 6.8 7 +0.2On target

Gavin Williamsvs Kansas City Royals 6.4 8 +1.6

Cristopher Sánchezvs San Francisco Giants 6.2 6 -0.2On target

George Kirbyvs Texas Rangers 5.9 4 -1.9

Trevor Rogersvs Chicago White Sox 5.5 6 +0.5On target

Yoshinobu Yamamotovs Toronto Blue Jays 5.5 6 +0.5On target

Freddy Peraltavs Arizona Diamondbacks 5.0 5 +0.0On target

Sandy Alcantaravs Cincinnati Reds 5.0 6 +1.0

Robbie Rayvs Philadelphia Phillies 4.9 7 +2.1

Mike Burrowsvs Colorado Rockies 4.9 3 -1.9

Nathan Eovaldivs Seattle Mariners 4.8 7 +2.2

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Jose Altuve— · vs Kyle Freeland 64.0% No Hit

Christian Walker— · vs Kyle Freeland 63.9% Hit

Brandon Nimmo— · vs George Kirby 63.6% No Hit

Randy Arozarena— · vs Nathan Eovaldi 63.5% No Hit

Giancarlo Stanton— · vs Aaron Civale 63.5% Hit

Teoscar Hernández— · vs Kevin Gausman 63.2% No Hit

Otto Lopez— · vs Andrew Abbott 63.1% Hit

Aaron Judge— · vs Aaron Civale 62.9% No Hit

Ben Rice— · vs Aaron Civale 62.8% Hit

Yandy DíazTampa Bay Rays · vs Javier Assad 62.8% No Hit

Jake Burger— · vs George Kirby 62.7% No Hit

Oneil Cruz— · vs Nick Pivetta 62.6% Hit

Wilyer Abreu— · vs Jacob Misiorowski 62.6% No Hit

Ryan O'Hearn— · vs Nick Pivetta 62.5% Hit

Jeremy Peña— · vs Kyle Freeland 62.3% No Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Christian Walker — 5.9% HR probability
James Wood — 5.1% HR probability
Gunnar Henderson — 4.8% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Jacob Misiorowski — proj 6.9, recorded 10
Garrett Crochet — proj 6.8, recorded 7
Tarik Skubal — proj 6.8, recorded 7

Biggest Surprises

Taj Bradley — proj 4.1, recorded 10
Shane Smith — proj 2.7, recorded 8

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Christian Walker. Model HR probability 5.9% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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