MLB Results — April 6, 2026

MLB Model Results — April 6, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Adrian Houser 14.0% No Home Run

#2 Pete Alonso— · vs Grant Taylor 11.8% No Home Run

#3 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Max Scherzer 9.5% Home Run

#4 Bryce Harper— · vs Adrian Houser 9.3% No Home Run

#5 Freddie Freeman— · vs Max Scherzer 9.3% Home Run

#6 Zach Neto— · vs Chris Sale 9.0% Home Run

#7 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Ryan Feltner 8.7% No Home Run

#8 Ramón Laureano— · vs Bubba Chandler 8.7% No Home Run

#9 Drake Baldwin— · vs José Soriano 8.5% Home Run

#10 Vladimir Guerrero Jr.— · vs Justin Wrobleski 7.7% No Home Run

#11 Wilyer Abreu— · vs Brandon Woodruff 7.6% No Home Run

#12 Oneil Cruz— · vs Germán Márquez 7.3% No Home Run

#13 Brandon Lowe— · vs Germán Márquez 7.2% No Home Run

#14 Munetaka Murakami— · vs Brandon Young 7.1% No Home Run

#15 Christian Walker— · vs Ryan Feltner 7.0% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Casey Mizevs Minnesota Twins 5.8 4 -1.8

Andrew Paintervs San Francisco Giants 5.8 1 -4.8

Chris Salevs Los Angeles Angels 5.8 7 +1.2

Logan Gilbertvs Texas Rangers 5.8 5 -0.8On target

Brandon Woodruffvs Boston Red Sox 5.8 4 -1.8

Jacob deGromvs Seattle Mariners 5.4 6 +0.6On target

Joe Ryanvs Detroit Tigers 5.4 7 +1.6

Max Scherzervs Los Angeles Dodgers 4.5 2 -2.5

José Sorianovs Atlanta Braves 4.5 10 +5.5

Bubba Chandlervs San Diego Padres 4.5 4 -0.5On target

Janson Junkvs Cincinnati Reds 4.5 3 -1.5

Brandon Youngvs Chicago White Sox 4.5 2 -2.5

Shane McClanahanvs Chicago Cubs 4.5 5 +0.5On target

Grant Taylorvs Baltimore Orioles 4.0 1 -3.0

Adrian Houservs Philadelphia Phillies 4.0 3 -1.0On target

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Andy Pages— · vs Max Scherzer 63.4% Hit

Yandy DíazTampa Bay Rays · vs Jameson Taillon 63.3% Hit

Jose Altuve— · vs Ryan Feltner 63.2% Hit

Brandon Nimmo— · vs Logan Gilbert 63.1% No Hit

Christian Walker— · vs Ryan Feltner 63.1% Hit

Yordan Alvarez— · vs Ryan Feltner 63.0% No Hit

Shohei Ohtani— · vs Max Scherzer 63.0% Hit

Teoscar Hernández— · vs Max Scherzer 62.9% Hit

Brendan Donovan— · vs Jacob deGrom 62.9% No Hit

Freddie Freeman— · vs Max Scherzer 62.7% Hit

Jackson Merrill— · vs Bubba Chandler 62.7% Hit

Kyle Tucker— · vs Max Scherzer 62.6% Hit

Oneil Cruz— · vs Germán Márquez 62.6% Hit

Randy Arozarena— · vs Jacob deGrom 62.5% Hit

Wilyer Abreu— · vs Brandon Woodruff 62.4% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Shohei Ohtani — 9.5% HR probability
Freddie Freeman — 9.3% HR probability
Zach Neto — 9.0% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Chris Sale — proj 5.8, recorded 7
Jacob deGrom — proj 5.4, recorded 6
Joe Ryan — proj 5.4, recorded 7

Biggest Surprises

José Soriano — proj 4.5, recorded 10
Andrew Painter — proj 5.8, recorded 1

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Shohei Ohtani. Model HR probability 9.5% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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