MLB Results

MLB Model Results — April 8, 2026

Home run threat, strikeout, and hit probability results for this MLB slate.

MLB Model Results — April 8, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Aaron Judge— · vs Luis Severino 9.2% No Home Run
#2 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Tyler Mahle 7.9% No Home Run
#3 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Dylan Cease 7.2% No Home Run
#4 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Michael Lorenzen 6.5% No Home Run
#5 Zach Neto— · vs Grant Holmes 5.7% No Home Run
#6 Tyler Soderstrom— · vs Will Warren 5.6% No Home Run
#7 Giancarlo Stanton— · vs Luis Severino 5.6% No Home Run
#8 Drake Baldwin— · vs Reid Detmers 5.5% No Home Run
#9 James Wood— · vs Michael McGreevy 5.5% No Home Run
#10 Shea Langeliers— · vs Will Warren 5.3% No Home Run
#11 Bryce Harper— · vs Tyler Mahle 5.1% No Home Run
#12 Chase DeLauter— · vs Cole Ragans 5.1% No Home Run
#13 Oneil Cruz— · vs Michael King 5.1% No Home Run
#14 Cal Raleigh— · vs MacKenzie Gore 5.0% No Home Run
#15 Munetaka Murakami— · vs Kyle Bradish 5.0% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Joe Boylevs Chicago Cubs 5.3 3 -2.3
Eury Pérezvs Cincinnati Reds 5.3 6 +0.7On target
Bryan Woovs Texas Rangers 5.3 2 -3.3
Grant Holmesvs Los Angeles Angels 5.3 6 +0.7On target
Will Warrenvs Athletics 4.6 5 +0.4On target
Michael Kingvs Pittsburgh Pirates 4.6 4 -0.6On target

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Kevin McGonigle— · vs Bailey Ober 63.1% Hit
Freddie Freeman— · vs Dylan Cease 63.1% Hit
Corbin Carroll— · vs David Peterson 62.0% Hit
CJ Abrams— · vs Michael McGreevy 61.9% No Hit
Zach Neto— · vs Grant Holmes 61.9% Hit
Ildemaro Vargas— · vs David Peterson 61.7% Hit
Jose Altuve— · vs Michael Lorenzen 61.5% Hit
JJ Wetherholt— · vs Miles Mikolas 61.5% No Hit
Mark Vientos— · vs Ryne Nelson 61.4% No Hit
Shohei Ohtani— · vs Dylan Cease 61.4% No Hit
Ketel Marte— · vs David Peterson 61.3% Hit
Christian Walker— · vs Michael Lorenzen 61.3% Hit
Brett Baty— · vs Ryne Nelson 61.2% Hit
Drake Baldwin— · vs Reid Detmers 61.1% Hit
Nico Hoerner— · vs Joe Boyle 60.8% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Top Strikeout Calls

Biggest Surprises

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Jordan Walker. Model HR probability 4.8% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

See today's slate the same way

This is a graded past slate. EdgeRanked publishes the same home run, strikeout, and hit probability analysis for today's games before first pitch.

3-day free trial. The full results archive stays free.