MLB Model Results — August 29, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sánchez | Los Angeles Angels | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 | On Target |
| Jack Perkins | Baltimore Orioles | 6.8 | 5 | -1.8 | |
| Nolan McLean | Houston Astros | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 | |
| Blake Snell | Detroit Tigers | 6.5 | 10 | +3.5 | |
| Shane Drohan | Texas Rangers | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 | On Target |
| Kevin Gausman | Cincinnati Reds | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 | On Target |
| José Soriano | Seattle Mariners | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 | On Target |
| Max Fried | Boston Red Sox | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 | |
| Sandy Alcantara | Washington Nationals | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 | |
| Kyle Leahy | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 | |
| Jake Bennett | New York Yankees | 5.2 | 7 | +1.8 | |
| Shane Baz | Athletics | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 | |
| Cal Quantrill | Milwaukee Brewers | 5.1 | 8 | +2.9 | |
| Foster Griffin | Kansas City Royals | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 | On Target |
| Kade Anderson | Toronto Blue Jays | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Cristopher Sánchez — proj 7.6, recorded 8
- Blake Snell — proj 6.5, recorded 10
- Kevin Gausman — proj 6.2, recorded 7
Biggest Surprises
- Cade Cavalli — proj 4.0, recorded 8
- Merrill Kelly — proj 3.3, recorded 7
See today's slate the same way
This is a graded past slate. EdgeRanked publishes the same home run, strikeout, and hit probability analysis for today's games before first pitch.
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