MLB Results — August 29, 2026

MLB Model Results — August 29, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Coby Mayo— · vs Jack Perkins 31.0% No Home Run

#2 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Ryan Johnson 28.4% No Home Run

#3 Hunter Goodman— · vs Martín Pérez 27.3% No Home Run

#4 Nolan Gorman— · vs Lake Bachar 27.0% No Home Run

#5 Jac Caglianone— · vs Foster Griffin 26.5% No Home Run

#6 Brandon Lowe— · vs Kyle Leahy 26.5% Home Run

#7 Michael Conforto— · vs Andrew Abbott 26.1% No Home Run

#8 Salvador Perez— · vs Foster Griffin 26.1% No Home Run

#9 Zach Neto— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 25.9% Home Run

#10 Heriberto Hernández— · vs Cade Cavalli 25.3% Home Run

#11 Francisco Lindor— · vs Bennett Sousa 25.0% No Home Run

#12 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Keider Montero 25.0% No Home Run

#13 Michael Harris II— · vs Zach Agnos 24.4% No Home Run

#14 Pete Alonso— · vs Jack Perkins 24.2% No Home Run

#15 Matt Olson— · vs Zach Agnos 24.2% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Cristopher Sánchezvs Los Angeles Angels 7.6 8 +0.4On target

Jack Perkinsvs Baltimore Orioles 6.8 5 -1.8

Nolan McLeanvs Houston Astros 6.5 4 -2.5

Blake Snellvs Detroit Tigers 6.5 10 +3.5

Shane Drohanvs Texas Rangers 6.2 6 -0.2On target

Kevin Gausmanvs Cincinnati Reds 6.2 7 +0.8On target

José Sorianovs Seattle Mariners 5.7 6 +0.3On target

Max Friedvs Boston Red Sox 5.6 4 -1.6

Sandy Alcantaravs Washington Nationals 5.2 3 -2.2

Kyle Leahyvs Pittsburgh Pirates 5.2 3 -2.2

Jake Bennettvs New York Yankees 5.2 7 +1.8

Shane Bazvs Athletics 5.1 4 -1.1

Cal Quantrillvs Milwaukee Brewers 5.1 8 +2.9

Foster Griffinvs Kansas City Royals 4.9 4 -0.9On target

Kade Andersonvs Toronto Blue Jays 4.8 3 -1.8

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Shohei Ohtani— · vs Keider Montero 62.0% Hit

Rafael Devers— · vs Merrill Kelly 61.9% Hit

Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Nick Martinez 61.8% Hit

Bryce Harper— · vs Ryan Johnson 61.7% No Hit

Seiya Suzuki— · vs Andrew Abbott 61.4% Hit

Yordan Alvarez— · vs Nolan McLean 61.3% Hit

Kyle Schwarber— · vs Ryan Johnson 61.1% Hit

Paul Goldschmidt— · vs Jake Bennett 61.1% No Hit

CJ Abrams— · vs Sandy Alcantara 61.0% No Hit

Juan Soto— · vs Bennett Sousa 61.0% Hit

Kyle Stowers— · vs Cade Cavalli 61.0% Hit

Ben Rice— · vs Jake Bennett 60.6% Hit

Elly De La Cruz— · vs Kevin Gausman 60.6% Hit

Freddie Freeman— · vs Keider Montero 60.6% Hit

Jake Bauers— · vs Cal Quantrill 60.6% No Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Brandon Lowe — 26.5% HR probability
Zach Neto — 25.9% HR probability
Heriberto Hernández — 25.3% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Cristopher Sánchez — proj 7.6, recorded 8
Blake Snell — proj 6.5, recorded 10
Kevin Gausman — proj 6.2, recorded 7

Biggest Surprises

Cade Cavalli — proj 4.0, recorded 8
Merrill Kelly — proj 3.3, recorded 7

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Brandon Lowe. Model HR probability 26.5% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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