Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — August 18, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
16
Games covered
424
Hitters evaluated
32
Pitchers evaluated
August 18, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Ashcraft | Detroit Tigers | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 | |
| Zack Wheeler | Miami Marlins | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 | On Target |
| Carlos Rodón | Baltimore Orioles | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 | |
| Kyle Harrison | Seattle Mariners | 5.8 | 8 | +2.2 | |
| Jack Perkins | Kansas City Royals | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 | |
| Bryce Miller | Milwaukee Brewers | 5.8 | 3 | -2.8 | |
| Kevin Gausman | Chicago White Sox | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 | On Target |
| Kyle Leahy | Cincinnati Reds | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 | On Target |
| Jackson Kent | Texas Rangers | 5.7 | 3 | -2.7 | |
| Shane Baz | New York Yankees | 5.6 | 10 | +4.4 | |
| Tyler Mahle | Minnesota Twins | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 | |
| Keider Montero | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 | |
| Robbie Ray | New York Mets | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 | On Target |
| Foster Griffin | San Francisco Giants | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 | |
| José Soriano | Tampa Bay Rays | 4.7 | 2 | -2.7 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Zack Wheeler — proj 6.6, recorded 7
- Kyle Harrison — proj 5.8, recorded 8
- Kyle Leahy — proj 5.7, recorded 6
Biggest Surprises
- Shane Baz — proj 5.6, recorded 10
- George Klassen — proj 2.7, recorded 7
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Zack Wheeler. Projected 6.6 strikeouts — recorded 7.
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