Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — August 12, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
16
Games covered
411
Hitters evaluated
31
Pitchers evaluated
August 12, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | St. Louis Cardinals | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 | On Target |
| Jack Perkins | Tampa Bay Rays | 5.8 | 2 | -3.8 | |
| Bryce Miller | New York Yankees | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 | On Target |
| Tyler Mahle | New York Mets | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 | |
| Jackson Kent | Chicago Cubs | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 | On Target |
| Foster Griffin | Detroit Tigers | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 | |
| Dustin May | San Diego Padres | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 | On Target |
| José Soriano | Boston Red Sox | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 | |
| David Peterson | Washington Nationals | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 | On Target |
| Ranger Suarez | Toronto Blue Jays | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 | |
| Will Warren | Seattle Mariners | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 | |
| Kyle Leahy | Philadelphia Phillies | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 | |
| Shane Baz | Minnesota Twins | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 | |
| Robbie Ray | Milwaukee Brewers | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 | On Target |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | Miami Marlins | 4.8 | 1 | -3.8 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Tyler Mahle — proj 5.6, recorded 7
- Jackson Kent — proj 5.6, recorded 6
- Dustin May — proj 5.3, recorded 6
Biggest Surprises
- Luis Castillo — proj 4.6, recorded 10
- George Klassen — proj 1.1, recorded 5
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Tyler Mahle. Projected 5.6 strikeouts — recorded 7.
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