Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — August 11, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
16
Games covered
419
Hitters evaluated
32
Pitchers evaluated
August 11, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | Boston Red Sox | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 | On Target |
| Sean Burke | Cincinnati Reds | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 | On Target |
| Nolan McLean | Atlanta Braves | 7.1 | 3 | -4.1 | |
| Kyle Harrison | San Diego Padres | 6.5 | 3 | -3.5 | |
| Eury Pérez | Pittsburgh Pirates | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 | On Target |
| Ryan Weathers | Seattle Mariners | 6.0 | 4 | -2.0 | |
| Paul Skenes | Miami Marlins | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 | |
| Shota Imanaga | Washington Nationals | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 | On Target |
| Cristopher Sánchez | St. Louis Cardinals | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 | |
| Bryan Woo | New York Yankees | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 | On Target |
| Hunter Brown | San Francisco Giants | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 | |
| Cody Bradford | Los Angeles Angels | 5.2 | 1 | -4.2 | |
| Patrick Sandoval | Toronto Blue Jays | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 | |
| Tanner Bibee | Detroit Tigers | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 | On Target |
| Jake Irvin | Chicago Cubs | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 | On Target |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Sean Burke — proj 7.2, recorded 8
- Eury Pérez — proj 6.4, recorded 7
- Cristopher Sánchez — proj 5.6, recorded 7
Biggest Surprises
- Blake Snell — proj 1.8, recorded 10
- Cody Bradford — proj 5.2, recorded 1
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Sean Burke. Projected 7.2 strikeouts — recorded 8.
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