Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — July 24, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
16
Games covered
432
Hitters evaluated
33
Pitchers evaluated
July 24, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal | Kansas City Royals | 7.4 | 12 | +4.6 | |
| Jesús Luzardo | New York Yankees | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 | |
| Cam Schlittler | Philadelphia Phillies | 6.8 | 12 | +5.2 | |
| Jared Jones | Chicago Cubs | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 | |
| MacKenzie Gore | Seattle Mariners | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 | On Target |
| Shane Drohan | Colorado Rockies | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 | On Target |
| Joey Cantillo | Tampa Bay Rays | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 | |
| Matthew Boyd | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 | |
| Patrick Sandoval | Toronto Blue Jays | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 | |
| Sean Manaea | Los Angeles Dodgers | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 | |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Chicago White Sox | 5.1 | 0 | -5.1 | |
| Shane McClanahan | Cleveland Guardians | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 | |
| Dustin May | Cincinnati Reds | 5.1 | 8 | +2.9 | |
| Roki Sasaki | New York Mets | 5.0 | 9 | +4.0 | |
| Trey Yesavage | Boston Red Sox | 4.8 | 9 | +4.2 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Tarik Skubal — proj 7.4, recorded 12
- Jesús Luzardo — proj 6.9, recorded 9
- Cam Schlittler — proj 6.8, recorded 12
Biggest Surprises
- Cam Schlittler — proj 6.8, recorded 12
- Spencer Arrighetti — proj 5.1, recorded 0
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Tarik Skubal. Projected 7.4 strikeouts — recorded 12.
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