Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — July 25, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
17
Games covered
438
Hitters evaluated
33
Pitchers evaluated
July 25, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | Boston Red Sox | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 | |
| Paul Skenes | Chicago Cubs | 6.9 | 11 | +4.1 | |
| Eury Pérez | San Diego Padres | 6.3 | 2 | -4.3 | |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | New York Mets | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 | On Target |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Seattle Mariners | 5.8 | 8 | +2.2 | |
| Hunter Greene | St. Louis Cardinals | 5.8 | 3 | -2.8 | |
| Ryan Weathers | Philadelphia Phillies | 5.7 | 7 | +1.3 | |
| Nolan McLean | Los Angeles Dodgers | 5.7 | 7 | +1.3 | |
| Casey Mize | Kansas City Royals | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 | |
| Bryan Woo | Texas Rangers | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 | On Target |
| Sean Burke | Houston Astros | 5.5 | 10 | +4.5 | |
| Shota Imanaga | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 | |
| Sonny Gray | Toronto Blue Jays | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 | |
| Foster Griffin | Arizona Diamondbacks | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 | |
| Robert Gasser | Colorado Rockies | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 | On Target |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Dylan Cease — proj 8.5, recorded 12
- Paul Skenes — proj 6.9, recorded 11
- Nathan Eovaldi — proj 5.8, recorded 8
Biggest Surprises
- Sean Burke — proj 5.5, recorded 10
- Eury Pérez — proj 6.3, recorded 2
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Dylan Cease. Projected 8.5 strikeouts — recorded 12.
Explore More