MLB Results — June 24, 2026

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MLB Model Results — June 24, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Hunter Goodman— · vs Sonny Gray 23.5% No Home Run

#2 Hunter Goodman— · vs Ranger Suarez 23.4% No Home Run

#3 Byron Buxton— · vs Justin Wrobleski 23.2% No Home Run

#4 Bryce Harper— · vs Zack Littell 23.1% No Home Run

#5 Bryce Harper— · vs Miles Mikolas 23.1% No Home Run

#6 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Shane Bieber 23.0% No Home Run

#7 Pete Alonso— · vs Ryan Johnson 22.9% No Home Run

#8 Cal Raleigh— · vs Mitch Keller 22.9% No Home Run

#9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr.— · vs Peter Lambert 22.8% No Home Run

#10 Colson Montgomery— · vs Tanner Bibee 22.7% No Home Run

#11 Brandon Lowe— · vs George Kirby 22.7% No Home Run

#12 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Miles Mikolas 22.6% No Home Run

#13 Colson Montgomery— · vs Parker Messick 22.5% No Home Run

#14 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Zack Littell 22.5% No Home Run

#15 Brandon Lowe— · vs Bryan Woo 22.4% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Shohei Ohtanivs Minnesota Twins 7.0 8 +1.0

Jacob deGromvs Miami Marlins 6.6 8 +1.4

Tarik Skubalvs New York Yankees 6.0 9 +3.0

Ryan Weathersvs Detroit Tigers 5.9 6 +0.1On target

Bryan Woovs Pittsburgh Pirates 5.9 4 -1.9

Braxton Ashcraftvs Seattle Mariners 5.7 10 +4.3

Nolan McLeanvs Chicago Cubs 5.6 9 +3.4

José Sorianovs Baltimore Orioles 5.5 4 -1.5

Joe Ryanvs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.4 9 +3.6

Griffin Jaxvs Kansas City Royals 5.3 7 +1.7

Eury Pérezvs Texas Rangers 5.2 1 -4.2

JP Searsvs Atlanta Braves 5.2 5 -0.2On target

Tanner Bibeevs Chicago White Sox 5.2 3 -2.2

Trey Yesavagevs Houston Astros 5.1 5 -0.1On target

Ranger Suarezvs Colorado Rockies 5.0 9 +4.0

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Gunnar Henderson— · vs Ryan Johnson 61.5% No Hit

Jose Altuve— · vs Shane Bieber 60.4% No Hit

Bryson Stott— · vs Miles Mikolas 60.3% Hit

George Springer— · vs Peter Lambert 60.3% No Hit

Blaze Alexander— · vs Ryan Johnson 59.8% No Hit

Brandon Marsh— · vs Miles Mikolas 59.7% Hit

Alec Bohm— · vs Zack Littell 59.2% No Hit

Bryson Stott— · vs Zack Littell 58.9% Hit

Leody Taveras— · vs Ryan Johnson 58.9% No Hit

Brandon Marsh— · vs Zack Littell 58.7% Hit

Alec Bohm— · vs Miles Mikolas 58.6% No Hit

Corbin Carroll— · vs Kyle Leahy 58.3% Hit

Yainer Diaz— · vs Shane Bieber 58.3% Hit

Christian YelichMilwaukee Brewers · vs Nick Lodolo 58.2% No Hit

Christian YelichMilwaukee Brewers · vs Rhett Lowder 57.8% No Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Rafael Devers — 19.5% HR probability
Rafael Devers — 19.5% HR probability
Ketel Marte — 15.6% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Shohei Ohtani — proj 7.0, recorded 8
Jacob deGrom — proj 6.6, recorded 8
Tarik Skubal — proj 6.0, recorded 9

Biggest Surprises

Braxton Ashcraft — proj 5.7, recorded 10
Eury Pérez — proj 5.2, recorded 1

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Rafael Devers. Model HR probability 19.5% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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This is a graded past slate. EdgeRanked publishes the same home run, strikeout, and hit probability analysis for today's games before first pitch.

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