MLB Results — September 8, 2026

MLB Model Results — September 8, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Coby Mayo— · vs Tanner Bibee 31.4% No Home Run

#2 Brandon Lowe— · vs Sean Burke 31.0% No Home Run

#3 Heriberto Hernández— · vs Sean Manaea 30.8% No Home Run

#4 Hunter Goodman— · vs Cam Schlittler 30.8% Home Run

#5 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Hayden Wesneski 29.0% No Home Run

#6 Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Riley Cornelio 27.7% No Home Run

#7 Kazuma Okamoto— · vs Jack Perkins 27.3% Home Run

#8 Jackson Merrill— · vs Riley Cornelio 26.4% No Home Run

#9 Jahmai Jones— · vs Reid Detmers 26.1% No Home Run

#10 Nolan Gorman— · vs Landen Roupp 25.2% No Home Run

#11 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Andrew Painter 25.2% No Home Run

#12 Zach Neto— · vs Patrick Sandoval 25.0% Home Run

#13 Michael Harris II— · vs Freddy Peralta 24.4% No Home Run

#14 Cal Raleigh— · vs Cal Quantrill 24.3% No Home Run

#15 Joc Pederson— · vs Bryce Miller 24.1% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Tarik Skubalvs Cincinnati Reds 8.4 5 -3.4

Jacob Misiorowskivs Chicago Cubs 7.2 9 +1.8

Sean Burkevs Pittsburgh Pirates 6.7 2 -4.7

Cam Schlittlervs Colorado Rockies 6.5 10 +3.5

Sean Manaeavs Miami Marlins 6.0 4 -2.0

Bryce Millervs Texas Rangers 5.6 6 +0.4On target

Patrick Sandovalvs Los Angeles Angels 5.5 7 +1.5

Freddy Peraltavs Atlanta Braves 5.4 2 -3.4

José Sorianovs Athletics 5.4 3 -2.4

Andrew Paintervs Houston Astros 5.3 6 +0.7On target

Jack Perkinsvs Toronto Blue Jays 5.3 3 -2.3

Corbin Burnesvs Kansas City Royals 5.3 2 -3.3

Tanner Bibeevs Baltimore Orioles 5.2 1 -4.2

Dean Kremervs Detroit Tigers 5.2 3 -2.2

Hayden Wesneskivs Philadelphia Phillies 5.1 3 -2.1

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Riley Cornelio 62.5% No Hit

Yordan Alvarez— · vs Andrew Painter 62.5% No Hit

Bryce Harper— · vs Hayden Wesneski 61.7% Hit

Rafael Devers— · vs Quinn Mathews 61.1% No Hit

Aaron Judge— · vs Gabriel Hughes 61.1% No Hit

Elly De La Cruz— · vs Tarik Skubal 60.9% Hit

Andrew Vaughn— · vs David Peterson 60.9% No Hit

Yandy DíazTampa Bay Rays · vs AJ Smith-Shawver 60.9% Hit

Ben Rice— · vs Gabriel Hughes 60.7% No Hit

Kyle Schwarber— · vs Hayden Wesneski 60.6% Hit

Teoscar Hernández— · vs Nick Lodolo 60.6% Hit

Freddie Freeman— · vs Nick Lodolo 60.6% No Hit

Oneil Cruz— · vs Sean Burke 60.5% Hit

Juan Soto— · vs Sandy Alcantara 60.5% Hit

Brett Baty— · vs Sandy Alcantara 60.4% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Hunter Goodman — 30.8% HR probability
Kazuma Okamoto — 27.3% HR probability
Zach Neto — 25.0% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Jacob Misiorowski — proj 7.2, recorded 9
Cam Schlittler — proj 6.5, recorded 10
Bryce Miller — proj 5.6, recorded 6

Biggest Surprises

Sean Burke — proj 6.7, recorded 2
Tanner Bibee — proj 5.2, recorded 1

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Hunter Goodman. Model HR probability 30.8% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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