MLB Results — September 9, 2026

MLB Model Results — September 9, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Coby Mayo— · vs Foster Griffin 31.8% Home Run

#2 Andrew Benintendi— · vs Lake Bachar 30.3% No Home Run

#3 Heriberto Hernández— · vs Robert Stock 29.8% No Home Run

#4 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Hunter Brown 27.9% Home Run

#5 Kazuma Okamoto— · vs Brady Basso 27.2% No Home Run

#6 Hunter Goodman— · vs Will Warren 27.2% No Home Run

#7 Salvador Perez— · vs Zac Gallen 26.1% No Home Run

#8 Zach Neto— · vs Jake Bennett 26.1% Home Run

#9 Nolan Gorman— · vs Blade Tidwell 25.0% No Home Run

#10 Riley Greene— · vs Zebby Matthews 24.4% No Home Run

#11 Carter Jensen— · vs Zac Gallen 24.4% Home Run

#12 Michael Harris II— · vs Griffin Jax 24.2% No Home Run

#13 Pete Alonso— · vs Foster Griffin 24.1% No Home Run

#14 Cal Raleigh— · vs Cody Bradford 24.1% No Home Run

#15 Brandon Lowe— · vs Davis Martin 23.9% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Yoshinobu Yamamotovs Cincinnati Reds 7.8 10 +2.2

Logan Hendersonvs Chicago Cubs 7.3 6 -1.3

Cristopher Sánchezvs Houston Astros 7.1 3 -4.1

Jake Bennettvs Los Angeles Angels 6.4 2 -4.4

Hunter Brownvs Philadelphia Phillies 6.0 7 +1.0On target

Foster Griffinvs Baltimore Orioles 5.9 4 -1.9

Kevin Gausmanvs Milwaukee Brewers 5.9 6 +0.1On target

Zebby Matthewsvs Detroit Tigers 5.6 2 -3.6

Will Warrenvs Colorado Rockies 5.2 8 +2.8

Griffin Jaxvs Atlanta Braves 5.2 2 -3.2

Shane Bazvs Cleveland Guardians 5.0 5 -0.0On target

Walker Buehlervs Washington Nationals 4.4 4 -0.4On target

Jackson Kentvs San Diego Padres 4.0 2 -2.0

Andre Pallantevs San Francisco Giants 4.0 4 +0.0On target

Ryan Johnsonvs Boston Red Sox 3.9 5 +1.1

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Aaron Judge— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 64.5% Hit

Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Jackson Kent 64.5% Hit

Bryce Harper— · vs Hunter Brown 64.1% Hit

Juan Soto— · vs Janson Junk 62.7% No Hit

Ben Rice— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 62.4% No Hit

Kyle Schwarber— · vs Hunter Brown 62.2% Hit

Yordan Alvarez— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 62.2% Hit

Yandy DíazTampa Bay Rays · vs Reynaldo López 62.2% Hit

Brett Baty— · vs Janson Junk 62.2% Hit

Kyle Stowers— · vs Robert Stock 62.2% Hit

Elly De La Cruz— · vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto 62.1% Hit

Wilyer Abreu— · vs Ryan Johnson 62.1% Hit

Randy Arozarena— · vs Cody Bradford 62.0% Hit

James Wood— · vs Walker Buehler 61.9% Hit

Mickey Gasper— · vs Ryan Johnson 61.5% No Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Coby Mayo — 31.8% HR probability
Kyle Schwarber — 27.9% HR probability
Zach Neto — 26.1% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Yoshinobu Yamamoto — proj 7.8, recorded 10
Hunter Brown — proj 6.0, recorded 7
Kevin Gausman — proj 5.9, recorded 6

Biggest Surprises

Jake Bennett — proj 6.4, recorded 2
Cristopher Sánchez — proj 7.1, recorded 3

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Coby Mayo. Model HR probability 31.8% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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