MLB Results — September 7, 2026

MLB Model Results — September 7, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Coby Mayo— · vs Joey Cantillo 31.8% Home Run

#2 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Chase Burns 30.4% No Home Run

#3 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Grant Holmes 29.0% Home Run

#4 Kazuma Okamoto— · vs Jacob Lopez 27.3% Home Run

#5 Heriberto Hernández— · vs Jonah Tong 25.2% No Home Run

#6 Salvador Perez— · vs Derek Law 25.2% No Home Run

#7 Nolan Gorman— · vs Logan Webb 25.2% No Home Run

#8 Carter Jensen— · vs Derek Law 24.2% No Home Run

#9 Riley Greene— · vs Joe Ryan 24.2% Home Run

#10 Jo Adell— · vs Trevor Rogers 24.2% No Home Run

#11 Pete Alonso— · vs Joey Cantillo 24.2% No Home Run

#12 Zach Neto— · vs Unknown Pitcher 23.9% No Home Run

#13 Michael Harris II— · vs Jesús Luzardo 23.9% No Home Run

#14 Max Muncy— · vs Chase Burns 23.9% No Home Run

#15 Francisco Lindor— · vs Eury Pérez 23.9% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Dylan Ceasevs Athletics 8.6 6 -2.6

Jesús Luzardovs Atlanta Braves 7.4 12 +4.6

Emmet Sheehanvs Cincinnati Reds 6.1 10 +3.9

Nick Pivettavs Washington Nationals 6.0 2 -4.0

Joe Ryanvs Detroit Tigers 6.0 7 +1.0

Chase Burnsvs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.8 5 -0.8On target

Joey Cantillovs Baltimore Orioles 5.3 3 -2.3

Brayan Bellovs Los Angeles Angels 5.2 7 +1.8

Eury Pérezvs New York Mets 5.2 5 -0.2On target

Trevor Rogersvs Cleveland Guardians 5.0 6 +1.0On target

Troy Meltonvs Minnesota Twins 4.9 3 -1.9

Jacob Lopezvs Toronto Blue Jays 4.8 1 -3.8

Jake Irvinvs San Diego Padres 4.6 3 -1.6

Matthew Boydvs Milwaukee Brewers 4.1 7 +2.9

Logan Webbvs St. Louis Cardinals 4.0 8 +4.0

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Rafael Devers— · vs Michael McGreevy 62.4% Hit

Bryce Harper— · vs Grant Holmes 62.2% No Hit

Kyle Stowers— · vs Jonah Tong 61.3% No Hit

Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Jake Irvin 61.3% Hit

Kyle Schwarber— · vs Grant Holmes 61.1% Hit

Seiya Suzuki— · vs Robert Gasser 60.8% No Hit

Shohei Ohtani— · vs Chase Burns 60.5% No Hit

Juan Soto— · vs Eury Pérez 60.4% Hit

Elly De La Cruz— · vs Unknown Pitcher 60.2% Hit

Wilyer Abreu— · vs Grayson Rodriguez 60.1% No Hit

Elly De La Cruz— · vs Emmet Sheehan 60.0% Hit

Mickey Gasper— · vs Grayson Rodriguez 59.8% No Hit

Andrew VaughnMilwaukee Brewers · vs Matthew Boyd 59.8% Hit

Brett Baty— · vs Eury Pérez 59.7% Hit

Zach Neto— · vs Brayan Bello 59.6% No Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Coby Mayo — 31.8% HR probability
Kyle Schwarber — 29.0% HR probability
Kazuma Okamoto — 27.3% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Jesús Luzardo — proj 7.4, recorded 12
Emmet Sheehan — proj 6.1, recorded 10
Joe Ryan — proj 6.0, recorded 7

Biggest Surprises

Jonah Tong — proj 1.5, recorded 7
Jesús Luzardo — proj 7.4, recorded 12

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Coby Mayo. Model HR probability 31.8% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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