Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — August 21, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
16
Games covered
425
Hitters evaluated
33
Pitchers evaluated
August 21, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | Atlanta Braves | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 | |
| Chris Sale | Milwaukee Brewers | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 | |
| Sean Burke | New York Mets | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 | |
| Sean Manaea | Chicago White Sox | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 | |
| MacKenzie Gore | Los Angeles Angels | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 | On Target |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Pittsburgh Pirates | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 | |
| Jesús Luzardo | St. Louis Cardinals | 6.2 | 9 | +2.8 | |
| Noah Cameron | Detroit Tigers | 6.0 | 2 | -4.0 | |
| Cam Schlittler | Toronto Blue Jays | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 | |
| Sonny Gray | San Francisco Giants | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 | On Target |
| Connor Prielipp | San Diego Padres | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 | |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Cincinnati Reds | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 | |
| J.T. Ginn | Houston Astros | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 | |
| Troy Melton | Kansas City Royals | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 | |
| Reid Detmers | Texas Rangers | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 | On Target |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- MacKenzie Gore — proj 6.8, recorded 7
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto — proj 6.5, recorded 9
- Jesús Luzardo — proj 6.2, recorded 9
Biggest Surprises
- Noah Cameron — proj 6.0, recorded 2
- Logan Webb — proj 5.2, recorded 2
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: MacKenzie Gore. Projected 6.8 strikeouts — recorded 7.
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