Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — August 20, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
9
Games covered
235
Hitters evaluated
18
Pitchers evaluated
August 20, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | New York Yankees | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 | |
| Gavin Williams | San Francisco Giants | 7.1 | 11 | +3.9 | |
| Gerrit Cole | Baltimore Orioles | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 | |
| Peter Lambert | Los Angeles Angels | 6.2 | 3 | -3.2 | |
| Ian Seymour | Toronto Blue Jays | 5.9 | 8 | +2.1 | |
| Jacob deGrom | Washington Nationals | 5.9 | 10 | +4.1 | |
| Andrew Alvarez | Texas Rangers | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 | On Target |
| Gage Jump | Kansas City Royals | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 | |
| Michael McGreevy | Cincinnati Reds | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 | On Target |
| George Kirby | Milwaukee Brewers | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 | |
| Landen Roupp | Cleveland Guardians | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 | |
| Grant Holmes | Chicago White Sox | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 | |
| Robert Gasser | Seattle Mariners | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 | On Target |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Houston Astros | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 | |
| Brady Singer | St. Louis Cardinals | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 | On Target |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Gavin Williams — proj 7.1, recorded 11
- Gerrit Cole — proj 7.0, recorded 8
- Ian Seymour — proj 5.9, recorded 8
Biggest Surprises
- Jacob deGrom — proj 5.9, recorded 10
- Shane Bieber — proj 3.0, recorded 7
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Gavin Williams. Projected 7.1 strikeouts — recorded 11.
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