Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — July 26, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
15
Games covered
396
Hitters evaluated
30
Pitchers evaluated
July 26, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | Colorado Rockies | 8.1 | 12 | +3.9 | |
| Logan Gilbert | Texas Rangers | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 | |
| Jacob deGrom | Seattle Mariners | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 | |
| Cristopher Sánchez | New York Yankees | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 | On Target |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Chicago Cubs | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 | On Target |
| Ronel Blanco | Chicago White Sox | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 | |
| Ranger Suarez | Toronto Blue Jays | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 | On Target |
| Emmet Sheehan | New York Mets | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 | On Target |
| Drew Rasmussen | Cleveland Guardians | 5.2 | 9 | +3.8 | |
| Kevin Gausman | Boston Red Sox | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 | On Target |
| Parker Messick | Tampa Bay Rays | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 | On Target |
| José Soriano | San Francisco Giants | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 | On Target |
| Connor Prielipp | Athletics | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 | On Target |
| Will Warren | Philadelphia Phillies | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 | On Target |
| Shane Baz | Atlanta Braves | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Jacob Misiorowski — proj 8.1, recorded 12
- Ranger Suarez — proj 5.3, recorded 6
- Drew Rasmussen — proj 5.2, recorded 9
Biggest Surprises
- Kyle Leahy — proj 4.5, recorded 9
- Jeffrey Springs — proj 4.4, recorded 0
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Jacob Misiorowski. Projected 8.1 strikeouts — recorded 12.
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