Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — July 27, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
13
Games covered
339
Hitters evaluated
26
Pitchers evaluated
July 27, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | Detroit Tigers | 7.2 | 4 | -3.2 | |
| Zack Wheeler | Miami Marlins | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 | On Target |
| Max Fried | Chicago White Sox | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 | |
| Jack Perkins | Boston Red Sox | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 | |
| Payton Tolle | Athletics | 5.4 | 7 | +1.6 | |
| George Kirby | Texas Rangers | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 | |
| Andrew Alvarez | Toronto Blue Jays | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 | |
| Kumar Rocker | Seattle Mariners | 5.1 | 7 | +1.9 | |
| Brandon Sproat | San Francisco Giants | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 | On Target |
| Keider Montero | Baltimore Orioles | 5.0 | 1 | -4.0 | |
| Matthew Liberatore | Chicago Cubs | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 | On Target |
| Walbert Ureña | Houston Astros | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 | On Target |
| Tatsuya Imai | Los Angeles Angels | 4.7 | 1 | -3.7 | |
| Zac Thornton | Atlanta Braves | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 | On Target |
| Tyler Mahle | Milwaukee Brewers | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Zack Wheeler — proj 5.8, recorded 6
- Payton Tolle — proj 5.4, recorded 7
- Kumar Rocker — proj 5.1, recorded 7
Biggest Surprises
- Keider Montero — proj 5.0, recorded 1
- Tatsuya Imai — proj 4.7, recorded 1
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Zack Wheeler. Projected 5.8 strikeouts — recorded 6.
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