Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — July 11, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
17
Games covered
464
Hitters evaluated
34
Pitchers evaluated
July 11, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Schlittler | Washington Nationals | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 | On Target |
| Joe Ryan | Los Angeles Angels | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 | On Target |
| Griffin Jax | Seattle Mariners | 6.1 | 3 | -3.1 | |
| Eury Pérez | Cleveland Guardians | 6.0 | 6 | +0.0 | On Target |
| Logan Gilbert | Tampa Bay Rays | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 | On Target |
| Casey Mize | Philadelphia Phillies | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 | On Target |
| Kyle Bradish | Kansas City Royals | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 | On Target |
| Brandon Sproat | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 | |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Milwaukee Brewers | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 | On Target |
| Cristopher Sánchez | Detroit Tigers | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 | |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Arizona Diamondbacks | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 | On Target |
| Shane Drohan | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 | On Target |
| Gage Jump | Chicago White Sox | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 | |
| Peter Lambert | Texas Rangers | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 | |
| Trey Yesavage | San Diego Padres | 4.9 | 1 | -3.9 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Eury Pérez — proj 6.0, recorded 6
- Braxton Ashcraft — proj 5.3, recorded 6
- Cristopher Sánchez — proj 5.3, recorded 7
Biggest Surprises
- Noah Cameron — proj 4.2, recorded 9
- Kyle Freeland — proj 4.2, recorded 9
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Eury Pérez. Projected 6.0 strikeouts — recorded 6.
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