Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — July 8, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
16
Games covered
405
Hitters evaluated
31
Pitchers evaluated
July 8, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Burns | Philadelphia Phillies | 7.2 | 2 | -5.2 | |
| Dylan Cease | San Francisco Giants | 5.7 | 11 | +5.3 | |
| MacKenzie Gore | Los Angeles Angels | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 | |
| Christian Scott | Kansas City Royals | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 | On Target |
| Connor Prielipp | Cleveland Guardians | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 | On Target |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Washington Nationals | 5.2 | 2 | -3.2 | |
| Foster Griffin | Houston Astros | 5.2 | 9 | +3.8 | |
| Kyle Harrison | St. Louis Cardinals | 5.2 | 2 | -3.2 | |
| Davis Martin | Boston Red Sox | 5.0 | 2 | -3.0 | |
| Gerrit Cole | Tampa Bay Rays | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 | |
| Shane McClanahan | New York Yankees | 5.0 | 5 | +0.0 | On Target |
| George Kirby | Miami Marlins | 5.0 | 7 | +2.0 | |
| Jake Bennett | Chicago White Sox | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 | On Target |
| Logan Webb | Toronto Blue Jays | 4.7 | 2 | -2.7 | |
| Troy Melton | Athletics | 4.4 | 9 | +4.6 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Dylan Cease — proj 5.7, recorded 11
- MacKenzie Gore — proj 5.6, recorded 7
- Connor Prielipp — proj 5.3, recorded 6
Biggest Surprises
- Dylan Cease — proj 5.7, recorded 11
- Chase Burns — proj 7.2, recorded 2
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Dylan Cease. Projected 5.7 strikeouts — recorded 11.
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