MLB Results

MLB Model Results — July 8, 2026

Home run threat, strikeout, and hit probability results for this MLB slate.

Slate Summary

MLB Model Results — July 8, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

16
Games covered
405
Hitters evaluated
31
Pitchers evaluated
July 8, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

No graded home run projections are available for this slate.

Strikeouts

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

PitcherOpponentProjected KsActual KsDifference
Chase BurnsPhiladelphia Phillies7.22-5.2
Dylan CeaseSan Francisco Giants5.711+5.3
MacKenzie GoreLos Angeles Angels5.67+1.4
Christian ScottKansas City Royals5.55-0.5On Target
Connor PrielippCleveland Guardians5.36+0.7On Target
Spencer ArrighettiWashington Nationals5.22-3.2
Foster GriffinHouston Astros5.29+3.8
Kyle HarrisonSt. Louis Cardinals5.22-3.2
Davis MartinBoston Red Sox5.02-3.0
Gerrit ColeTampa Bay Rays5.06+1.0
Shane McClanahanNew York Yankees5.05+0.0On Target
George KirbyMiami Marlins5.07+2.0
Jake BennettChicago White Sox5.04-1.0On Target
Logan WebbToronto Blue Jays4.72-2.7
Troy MeltonAthletics4.49+4.6
Hit Probability

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

No graded hit projections are available for this slate.

Model Highlights

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Strikeout Calls

Biggest Surprises

Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Dylan Cease. Projected 5.7 strikeouts — recorded 11.
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