MLB Results — July 8, 2026

MLB Model Results — July 8, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Hunter Goodman— · vs Roki Sasaki 31.2% No Home Run

#2 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Chase Burns 31.1% Home Run

#3 Brandon Lowe— · vs Grant Holmes 31.1% No Home Run

#4 Coby Mayo— · vs Colin Rea 30.8% Home Run

#5 Colson MontgomeryChicago White Sox · vs Jake Bennett 30.6% No Home Run

#6 Shohei OhtaniLos Angeles Dodgers · vs Gabriel Hughes 25.2% No Home Run

#7 Zach Neto— · vs MacKenzie Gore 25.0% No Home Run

#8 Heliot Ramos— · vs Dylan Cease 24.4% No Home Run

#9 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Foster Griffin 24.2% No Home Run

#10 Jac Caglianone— · vs Christian Scott 24.1% No Home Run

#11 Owen Caissie— · vs George Kirby 24.1% No Home Run

#12 Luis García Jr.New York Yankees · vs Spencer Arrighetti 24.1% Home Run

#13 Luke Raley— · vs Tyler Phillips 24.1% No Home Run

#14 Gunnar Henderson— · vs Colin Rea 23.9% No Home Run

#15 Carter Jensen— · vs Christian Scott 23.9% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Chase Burnsvs Philadelphia Phillies 7.2 2 -5.2

Dylan Ceasevs San Francisco Giants 5.7 11 +5.3

MacKenzie Gorevs Los Angeles Angels 5.6 7 +1.4

Christian Scottvs Kansas City Royals 5.5 5 -0.5On target

Connor Prielippvs Cleveland Guardians 5.3 6 +0.7On target

Spencer Arrighettivs Washington Nationals 5.2 2 -3.2

Foster Griffinvs Houston Astros 5.2 9 +3.8

Kyle Harrisonvs St. Louis Cardinals 5.2 2 -3.2

Davis Martinvs Boston Red Sox 5.0 2 -3.0

Gerrit Colevs Tampa Bay Rays 5.0 6 +1.0

Shane McClanahanvs New York Yankees 5.0 5 +0.0On target

George Kirbyvs Miami Marlins 5.0 7 +2.0

Jake Bennettvs Chicago White Sox 5.0 4 -1.0On target

Logan Webbvs Toronto Blue Jays 4.7 2 -2.7

Troy Meltonvs Athletics 4.4 9 +4.6

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Shohei OhtaniLos Angeles Dodgers · vs Gabriel Hughes 63.5% No Hit

Freddie FreemanLos Angeles Dodgers · vs Gabriel Hughes 63.2% Hit

Juan Soto— · vs Steven Cruz 62.4% No Hit

Bryce Harper— · vs Chase Burns 62.3% No Hit

Yordan Alvarez— · vs Foster Griffin 62.2% No Hit

Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego Padres · vs Jose Cabrera 62.0% Hit

Brandon Marsh— · vs Chase Burns 61.9% Hit

James Wood— · vs Spencer Arrighetti 61.7% No Hit

Bryan Reynolds— · vs Grant Holmes 61.3% Hit

Brett Baty— · vs Steven Cruz 61.1% Hit

Mickey Moniak— · vs Roki Sasaki 61.0% No Hit

Kyle Schwarber— · vs Chase Burns 60.9% Hit

Edouard Julien— · vs Roki Sasaki 60.6% Hit

Kyle Stowers— · vs George Kirby 60.5% Hit

Brandon Lowe— · vs Grant Holmes 60.3% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Kyle Schwarber — 31.1% HR probability
Coby Mayo — 30.8% HR probability
Luis García Jr. — 24.1% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Dylan Cease — proj 5.7, recorded 11
MacKenzie Gore — proj 5.6, recorded 7
Connor Prielipp — proj 5.3, recorded 6

Biggest Surprises

Dylan Cease — proj 5.7, recorded 11
Chase Burns — proj 7.2, recorded 2

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Kyle Schwarber. Model HR probability 31.1% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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