Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — July 7, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
17
Games covered
485
Hitters evaluated
35
Pitchers evaluated
July 7, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal | Athletics | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 | |
| Zack Wheeler | Cincinnati Reds | 7.1 | 14 | +6.9 | |
| Jacob deGrom | Los Angeles Angels | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 | On Target |
| Paul Skenes | Atlanta Braves | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 | |
| Jacob Misiorowski | St. Louis Cardinals | 5.7 | 11 | +5.3 | |
| Taj Bradley | Cleveland Guardians | 5.7 | 10 | +4.3 | |
| Tatsuya Imai | Washington Nationals | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 | |
| Max Meyer | Seattle Mariners | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 | |
| Andrew Alvarez | Houston Astros | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 | |
| José Soriano | Texas Rangers | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 | |
| Matthew Boyd | Baltimore Orioles | 5.2 | 7 | +1.8 | |
| Joey Cantillo | Minnesota Twins | 5.1 | 7 | +1.9 | |
| Bryan Woo | Miami Marlins | 5.0 | 5 | -0.0 | On Target |
| Payton Tolle | Chicago White Sox | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 | On Target |
| Will Warren | Tampa Bay Rays | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Tarik Skubal — proj 7.3, recorded 9
- Zack Wheeler — proj 7.1, recorded 14
- Jacob deGrom — proj 6.8, recorded 7
Biggest Surprises
- Ian Seymour — proj 3.4, recorded 12
- Zack Wheeler — proj 7.1, recorded 14
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Tarik Skubal. Projected 7.3 strikeouts — recorded 9.
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