MLB Results — March 27, 2026

MLB Model Results — March 27, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Cal Raleigh— · vs Gavin Williams 24.8% No Home Run

#2 Jazz Chisholm Jr.— · vs Robbie Ray 16.9% No Home Run

#3 Cody Bellinger— · vs Robbie Ray 15.7% No Home Run

#4 Jung Hoo Lee— · vs Cam Schlittler 15.6% No Home Run

#5 Riley Greene— · vs Michael King 15.5% No Home Run

#6 Hunter Goodman— · vs Sandy Alcantara 15.1% No Home Run

#7 Shea Langeliers— · vs Kevin Gausman 15.0% Home Run

#8 Spencer Torkelson— · vs Michael King 14.4% No Home Run

#9 Zach McKinstry— · vs Michael King 13.9% No Home Run

#10 Jose Altuve— · vs Yusei Kikuchi 13.9% No Home Run

#11 Willy Adames— · vs Cam Schlittler 13.5% No Home Run

#12 Corbin Carroll— · vs Emmet Sheehan 13.4% No Home Run

#13 Carlos Correa— · vs Yusei Kikuchi 13.4% No Home Run

#14 Matt Chapman— · vs Cam Schlittler 13.4% No Home Run

#15 Jo Adell— · vs Mike Burrows 13.2% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Kevin Gausmanvs Athletics 6.3 11 +4.7

Framber Valdezvs San Diego Padres 6.0 5 -1.0

Robbie Rayvs New York Yankees 6.0 4 -2.0

Gavin Williamsvs Seattle Mariners 5.5 7 +1.5

Chris Salevs Kansas City Royals 5.4 6 +0.6On target

Mike Burrowsvs Los Angeles Angels 5.4 6 +0.6On target

Michael Kingvs Detroit Tigers 5.4 6 +0.6On target

George Kirbyvs Cleveland Guardians 5.4 6 +0.6On target

Emmet Sheehanvs Arizona Diamondbacks 5.4 6 +0.6On target

Cam Schlittlervs San Francisco Giants 5.2 8 +2.8

Cole Ragansvs Atlanta Braves 5.2 5 -0.2On target

Ryne Nelsonvs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.2 4 -1.2

Yusei Kikuchivs Houston Astros 5.0 3 -2.0

Sandy Alcantaravs Colorado Rockies 4.7 5 +0.3On target

Luis Severinovs Toronto Blue Jays 4.1 3 -1.1

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Shohei Ohtani— · vs Ryne Nelson 59.0% No Hit

Jung Hoo Lee— · vs Cam Schlittler 58.8% No Hit

Cal Raleigh— · vs Gavin Williams 57.7% No Hit

Aaron Judge— · vs Robbie Ray 57.5% Hit

George Springer— · vs Luis Severino 56.4% No Hit

Josh Naylor— · vs Gavin Williams 54.7% No Hit

Ketel Marte— · vs Emmet Sheehan 54.5% Hit

Carlos Correa— · vs Yusei Kikuchi 54.1% Hit

Geraldo Perdomo— · vs Emmet Sheehan 53.9% Hit

Maikel Garcia— · vs Chris Sale 53.4% Hit

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.— · vs Luis Severino 52.7% Hit

Jacob Wilson— · vs Kevin Gausman 52.7% No Hit

Ernie Clement— · vs Luis Severino 52.4% Hit

Freddie Freeman— · vs Ryne Nelson 51.9% No Hit

Brendan Donovan— · vs Gavin Williams 51.8% No Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Shea Langeliers — 15.0% HR probability
Mike Trout — 11.8% HR probability
Zach Neto — 10.8% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Kevin Gausman — proj 6.3, recorded 11
Gavin Williams — proj 5.5, recorded 7
Chris Sale — proj 5.4, recorded 6

Biggest Surprises

Kevin Gausman — proj 6.3, recorded 11
Cam Schlittler — proj 5.2, recorded 8

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Shea Langeliers. Model HR probability 15.0% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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