MLB Results — March 28, 2026

MLB Model Results — March 28, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Jacob Latz 27.9% No Home Run

#2 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Jacob deGrom 27.9% No Home Run

#3 Cal Raleigh— · vs Joey Cantillo 24.8% No Home Run

#4 Jazz Chisholm Jr.— · vs Tyler Mahle 16.9% No Home Run

#5 Taylor Ward— · vs Taj Bradley 16.0% No Home Run

#6 Cody Bellinger— · vs Tyler Mahle 15.7% No Home Run

#7 Jung Hoo Lee— · vs Will Warren 15.6% No Home Run

#8 Riley Greene— · vs Randy Vásquez 15.5% No Home Run

#9 Hunter Goodman— · vs Eury Pérez 15.1% No Home Run

#10 Shea Langeliers— · vs Dylan Cease 15.0% Home Run

#11 Mike Yastrzemski— · vs Michael Wacha 14.8% No Home Run

#12 Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays · vs Michael McGreevy 14.4% No Home Run

#13 Pete Crow-Armstrong— · vs Miles Mikolas 14.4% No Home Run

#14 Spencer Torkelson— · vs Randy Vásquez 14.4% No Home Run

#15 Zach McKinstry— · vs Randy Vásquez 13.9% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Bryan Woovs Cleveland Guardians 7.0 9 +2.0

Dylan Ceasevs Athletics 6.7 12 +5.3

Sonny Grayvs Cincinnati Reds 6.1 5 -1.1

Michael McGreevyvs Tampa Bay Rays 5.4 5 -0.4On target

Randy Vásquezvs Detroit Tigers 5.4 8 +2.6

Eury Pérezvs Colorado Rockies 5.4 8 +2.6

Reynaldo Lópezvs Kansas City Royals 5.4 3 -2.4

Tyler Mahlevs New York Yankees 5.4 5 -0.4On target

Aaron Nolavs Texas Rangers 5.4 7 +1.6

Chad Patrickvs Chicago White Sox 5.4 4 -1.4

Tyler Glasnowvs Arizona Diamondbacks 5.4 6 +0.6On target

Kyle Bradishvs Minnesota Twins 5.4 4 -1.4

Cade Hortonvs Washington Nationals 5.4 4 -1.4

Cristian Javiervs Los Angeles Angels 5.4 1 -4.4

Jack Flahertyvs San Diego Padres 5.2 2 -3.2

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Kyle Schwarber— · vs Jacob Latz 59.5% No Hit

Kyle Schwarber— · vs Jacob deGrom 59.5% No Hit

Shohei Ohtani— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 59.0% No Hit

Jung Hoo Lee— · vs Will Warren 58.8% Hit

Cal Raleigh— · vs Joey Cantillo 57.7% Hit

Aaron Judge— · vs Tyler Mahle 57.5% Hit

George Springer— · vs Jeffrey Springs 56.4% Hit

Brice TurangMilwaukee Brewers · vs Sean Burke 55.4% Hit

Josh Naylor— · vs Joey Cantillo 54.7% No Hit

Trea Turner— · vs Jacob Latz 54.5% No Hit

Ketel Marte— · vs Tyler Glasnow 54.5% Hit

Trea Turner— · vs Jacob deGrom 54.5% No Hit

Bo Bichette— · vs Mitch Keller 54.3% Hit

Carlos Correa— · vs Reid Detmers 54.1% Hit

Geraldo Perdomo— · vs Tyler Glasnow 53.9% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Shea Langeliers — 15.0% HR probability
Ian Happ — 12.5% HR probability
Elly De La Cruz — 12.4% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Bryan Woo — proj 7.0, recorded 9
Dylan Cease — proj 6.7, recorded 12
Randy Vásquez — proj 5.4, recorded 8

Biggest Surprises

Dylan Cease — proj 6.7, recorded 12
Cristian Javier — proj 5.4, recorded 1

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Shea Langeliers. Model HR probability 15.0% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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