MLB Results — March 26, 2026

MLB Model Results — March 26, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Nathan Eovaldi 27.9% Home Run

#2 Cal Raleigh— · vs Tanner Bibee 24.8% No Home Run

#3 Taylor Ward— · vs Joe Ryan 16.0% No Home Run

#4 Riley Greene— · vs Nick Pivetta 15.5% No Home Run

#5 Spencer Torkelson— · vs Nick Pivetta 14.4% No Home Run

#6 Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays · vs Matthew Liberatore 14.4% No Home Run

#7 Pete Crow-Armstrong— · vs Cade Cavalli 14.4% No Home Run

#8 Jose Altuve— · vs José Soriano 13.9% No Home Run

#9 Byron Buxton— · vs Trevor Rogers 13.6% No Home Run

#10 Corbin Carroll— · vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto 13.4% No Home Run

#11 Carlos Correa— · vs José Soriano 13.4% No Home Run

#12 Jo Adell— · vs Hunter Brown 13.2% No Home Run

#13 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Zac Gallen 13.2% No Home Run

#14 Jorge Polanco— · vs Paul Skenes 13.2% No Home Run

#15 CJ Abrams— · vs Matthew Boyd 13.1% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Tarik Skubalvs San Diego Padres 8.3 6 -2.3

Garrett Crochetvs Cincinnati Reds 7.9 8 +0.1On target

Paul Skenesvs New York Mets 7.0 1 -6.0

Yoshinobu Yamamotovs Arizona Diamondbacks 6.9 6 -0.9On target

Hunter Brownvs Los Angeles Angels 6.8 9 +2.2

Joe Ryanvs Baltimore Orioles 6.4 7 +0.6On target

Nick Pivettavs Detroit Tigers 6.3 4 -2.3

Freddy Peraltavs Pittsburgh Pirates 6.2 7 +0.8On target

Andrew Abbottvs Boston Red Sox 5.4 4 -1.4

Cristopher Sánchezvs Texas Rangers 5.4 10 +4.6

Jacob Misiorowskivs Chicago White Sox 5.4 11 +5.6

Logan Gilbertvs Cleveland Guardians 5.4 7 +1.6

Trevor Rogersvs Minnesota Twins 5.4 5 -0.4On target

Matthew Liberatorevs Tampa Bay Rays 5.4 2 -3.4

Matthew Boydvs Washington Nationals 5.4 7 +1.6

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Kyle Schwarber— · vs Nathan Eovaldi 50.8% Hit

Shohei Ohtani— · vs Zac Gallen 50.3% Hit

Cal Raleigh— · vs Tanner Bibee 49.2% No Hit

Brice TurangMilwaukee Brewers · vs Shane Smith 47.3% Hit

Josh Naylor— · vs Tanner Bibee 46.7% No Hit

Ketel Marte— · vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto 46.5% No Hit

Trea Turner— · vs Nathan Eovaldi 46.5% Hit

Bo Bichette— · vs Paul Skenes 46.3% No Hit

Carlos Correa— · vs José Soriano 46.2% No Hit

Geraldo Perdomo— · vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto 46.0% Hit

Juan Soto— · vs Paul Skenes 45.7% Hit

Nico Hoerner— · vs Cade Cavalli 45.6% No Hit

Alec Bohm— · vs Nathan Eovaldi 44.9% Hit

Alec Burleson— · vs Drew Rasmussen 44.3% Hit

Freddie Freeman— · vs Zac Gallen 44.3% No Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Kyle Schwarber — 27.9% HR probability
Brandon Lowe — 12.9% HR probability
Andy Pages — 12.4% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Garrett Crochet — proj 7.9, recorded 8
Hunter Brown — proj 6.8, recorded 9
Joe Ryan — proj 6.4, recorded 7

Biggest Surprises

Paul Skenes — proj 7.0, recorded 1
Jacob Misiorowski — proj 5.4, recorded 11

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Kyle Schwarber. Model HR probability 27.9% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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