Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — July 30, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
10
Games covered
263
Hitters evaluated
20
Pitchers evaluated
July 30, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eury Pérez | New York Mets | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 | On Target |
| Nolan McLean | Miami Marlins | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 | On Target |
| Sean Burke | New York Yankees | 5.5 | 10 | +4.5 | |
| Roki Sasaki | Seattle Mariners | 5.4 | 7 | +1.6 | |
| Bryan Woo | Los Angeles Dodgers | 5.1 | 8 | +2.9 | |
| Jake Irvin | Atlanta Braves | 5.1 | 1 | -4.1 | |
| Sonny Gray | Athletics | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 | On Target |
| JP Sears | San Francisco Giants | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 | |
| Ryan Weathers | Chicago White Sox | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 | On Target |
| Shane McClanahan | Texas Rangers | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 | |
| Noah Cameron | Minnesota Twins | 4.5 | 7 | +2.5 | |
| Andre Pallante | Chicago Cubs | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 | |
| Grant Holmes | Washington Nationals | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 | On Target |
| Javier Assad | St. Louis Cardinals | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 | |
| Rhett Lowder | Pittsburgh Pirates | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 | On Target |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Eury Pérez — proj 5.7, recorded 6
- Nolan McLean — proj 5.7, recorded 6
- Sean Burke — proj 5.5, recorded 10
Biggest Surprises
- Sean Burke — proj 5.5, recorded 10
- Jake Irvin — proj 5.1, recorded 1
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Eury Pérez. Projected 5.7 strikeouts — recorded 6.
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