Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — July 29, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
17
Games covered
446
Hitters evaluated
34
Pitchers evaluated
July 29, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded home run projections are available for this slate.
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal | Baltimore Orioles | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 | |
| Chris Sale | New York Mets | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 | |
| Joe Ryan | Kansas City Royals | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 | |
| Christian Scott | Atlanta Braves | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 | |
| Jesús Luzardo | Miami Marlins | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 | On Target |
| Cam Schlittler | Chicago White Sox | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 | |
| Hayden Wesneski | Los Angeles Angels | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 | |
| Gabriel Hughes | San Diego Padres | 5.6 | 2 | -3.6 | |
| Jared Jones | Arizona Diamondbacks | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 | On Target |
| Joey Cantillo | Cincinnati Reds | 5.4 | 8 | +2.6 | |
| Trey Yesavage | Washington Nationals | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 | |
| MacKenzie Gore | Tampa Bay Rays | 5.2 | 9 | +3.8 | |
| Thomas Pannone | San Francisco Giants | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 | |
| Emerson Hancock | Los Angeles Dodgers | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 | On Target |
| Dustin May | Chicago Cubs | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
No graded hit projections are available for this slate.
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Strikeout Calls
- Chris Sale — proj 7.3, recorded 9
- Christian Scott — proj 5.9, recorded 7
- Cam Schlittler — proj 5.6, recorded 8
Biggest Surprises
- Jacob Lopez — proj 4.1, recorded 8
- MacKenzie Gore — proj 5.2, recorded 9
Highest Performing Projection — Strikeout Projection: Chris Sale. Projected 7.3 strikeouts — recorded 9.
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