MLB Results — June 20, 2026

Slate Summary

MLB Model Results — June 20, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Games covered

365

Hitters evaluated

Pitchers evaluated

June 20, 2026

Slate date

Home Run Threats

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

Rank	Player	Team	Matchup	HR Probability	Result
#1	Brandon Lowe	—	vs Tomoyuki Sugano	20.9%	No Home Run
#2	Hunter Goodman	Colorado Rockies	vs Paul Skenes	19.7%	No Home Run
#3	Byron Buxton	Minnesota Twins	vs Zac Gallen	19.2%	Home Run
#4	Christian Walker	Houston Astros	vs Joey Cantillo	18.2%	No Home Run
#5	Cal Raleigh	—	vs Connelly Early	18.2%	No Home Run
#6	Bryce Harper	Philadelphia Phillies	vs Freddy Peralta	17.3%	Home Run
#7	Colson Montgomery	—	vs Troy Melton	17.2%	No Home Run
#8	Juan Soto	New York Mets	vs Cristopher Sánchez	16.8%	No Home Run
#9	Kyle Schwarber	Philadelphia Phillies	vs Freddy Peralta	16.7%	Home Run
#10	Shohei Ohtani	Los Angeles Dodgers	vs Trevor Rogers	16.5%	Home Run
#11	Nick Kurtz	—	vs Walbert Ureña	16.4%	No Home Run
#12	Pete Alonso	Baltimore Orioles	vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto	16.4%	No Home Run
#13	Austin Riley	Atlanta Braves	vs Kyle Harrison	16.3%	No Home Run
#14	Yordan Alvarez	—	vs Joey Cantillo	16.2%	No Home Run
#15	Jake Burger	—	vs Walker Buehler	16.0%	Home Run

Strikeouts

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Pitcher	Opponent	Projected Ks	Actual Ks	Difference
Paul Skenes	Colorado Rockies	6.0	8	+2.0
Trevor McDonald	Miami Marlins	5.8	1	-4.8
Cristopher Sánchez	New York Mets	5.7	5	-0.7	On Target
J.T. Ginn	Los Angeles Angels	5.5	5	-0.5	On Target
Chris Sale	Milwaukee Brewers	5.5	7	+1.5
Freddy Peralta	Philadelphia Phillies	5.4	2	-3.4
Will Warren	Cincinnati Reds	5.4	8	+2.6
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Baltimore Orioles	5.4	6	+0.6	On Target
Max Meyer	San Francisco Giants	5.4	7	+1.6
Cade Cavalli	Tampa Bay Rays	5.4	1	-4.4
Walbert Ureña	Athletics	5.4	6	+0.6	On Target
Spencer Arrighetti	Cleveland Guardians	5.3	8	+2.7
Kyle Harrison	Atlanta Braves	5.2	7	+1.8
Emerson Hancock	Boston Red Sox	5.1	6	+0.9	On Target
Taj Bradley	Arizona Diamondbacks	5.0	4	-1.0

Hit Probability

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Player	Team	Matchup	Hit Probability	Result
Anthony Volpe	New York Yankees	vs Andrew Abbott	60.8%	Hit
Amed Rosario	New York Yankees	vs Andrew Abbott	59.2%	No Hit
Bo Bichette	New York Mets	vs Cristopher Sánchez	58.8%	Hit
Jake Burger	—	vs Walker Buehler	58.2%	Hit
Cody Bellinger	—	vs Andrew Abbott	58.1%	Hit
Endy Rodríguez	—	vs Tomoyuki Sugano	57.5%	No Hit
Joc Pederson	—	vs Walker Buehler	57.2%	No Hit
Ezequiel Duran	—	vs Walker Buehler	56.9%	No Hit
Brandon Lowe	—	vs Tomoyuki Sugano	56.8%	Hit
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	New York Yankees	vs Andrew Abbott	56.6%	No Hit
Elias Díaz	—	vs Walker Buehler	56.6%	No Hit
Brandon Valenzuela	—	vs Colin Rea	56.4%	Hit
Nick Gonzales	—	vs Tomoyuki Sugano	56.4%	No Hit
Jake Mangum	—	vs Tomoyuki Sugano	56.4%	Hit
Josh Bell	Minnesota Twins	vs Zac Gallen	56.3%	Hit

Model Highlights

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Byron Buxton. Model HR probability 19.2% — result: Home Run.

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