MLB Results — June 20, 2026

MLB Model Results — June 20, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Brandon Lowe— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 20.9% No Home Run

#2 Hunter Goodman— · vs Paul Skenes 19.7% No Home Run

#3 Byron Buxton— · vs Zac Gallen 19.2% Home Run

#4 Christian Walker— · vs Joey Cantillo 18.2% No Home Run

#5 Cal Raleigh— · vs Connelly Early 18.2% No Home Run

#6 Bryce Harper— · vs Freddy Peralta 17.3% Home Run

#7 Colson Montgomery— · vs Troy Melton 17.2% No Home Run

#8 Juan Soto— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 16.8% No Home Run

#9 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Freddy Peralta 16.7% Home Run

#10 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Trevor Rogers 16.5% Home Run

#11 Nick Kurtz— · vs Walbert Ureña 16.4% No Home Run

#12 Pete Alonso— · vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto 16.4% No Home Run

#13 Austin Riley— · vs Kyle Harrison 16.3% No Home Run

#14 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Joey Cantillo 16.2% No Home Run

#15 Jake Burger— · vs Walker Buehler 16.0% Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Paul Skenesvs Colorado Rockies 6.0 8 +2.0

Trevor McDonaldvs Miami Marlins 5.8 1 -4.8

Cristopher Sánchezvs New York Mets 5.7 5 -0.7On target

J.T. Ginnvs Los Angeles Angels 5.5 5 -0.5On target

Chris Salevs Milwaukee Brewers 5.5 7 +1.5

Freddy Peraltavs Philadelphia Phillies 5.4 2 -3.4

Will Warrenvs Cincinnati Reds 5.4 8 +2.6

Yoshinobu Yamamotovs Baltimore Orioles 5.4 6 +0.6On target

Max Meyervs San Francisco Giants 5.4 7 +1.6

Cade Cavallivs Tampa Bay Rays 5.4 1 -4.4

Walbert Ureñavs Athletics 5.4 6 +0.6On target

Spencer Arrighettivs Cleveland Guardians 5.3 8 +2.7

Kyle Harrisonvs Atlanta Braves 5.2 7 +1.8

Emerson Hancockvs Boston Red Sox 5.1 6 +0.9On target

Taj Bradleyvs Arizona Diamondbacks 5.0 4 -1.0

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Anthony Volpe— · vs Andrew Abbott 60.8% Hit

Amed Rosario— · vs Andrew Abbott 59.2% No Hit

Bo Bichette— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 58.8% Hit

Jake Burger— · vs Walker Buehler 58.2% Hit

Cody Bellinger— · vs Andrew Abbott 58.1% Hit

Endy Rodríguez— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 57.5% No Hit

Joc Pederson— · vs Walker Buehler 57.2% No Hit

Ezequiel Duran— · vs Walker Buehler 56.9% No Hit

Brandon Lowe— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 56.8% Hit

Jazz Chisholm Jr.— · vs Andrew Abbott 56.6% No Hit

Elias Díaz— · vs Walker Buehler 56.6% No Hit

Brandon Valenzuela— · vs Colin Rea 56.4% Hit

Nick Gonzales— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 56.4% No Hit

Jake Mangum— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 56.4% Hit

Josh Bell— · vs Zac Gallen 56.3% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Byron Buxton — 19.2% HR probability
Bryce Harper — 17.3% HR probability
Kyle Schwarber — 16.7% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Paul Skenes — proj 6.0, recorded 8
Chris Sale — proj 5.5, recorded 7
Will Warren — proj 5.4, recorded 8

Biggest Surprises

Trevor McDonald — proj 5.8, recorded 1
Joey Cantillo — proj 4.6, recorded 9

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Byron Buxton. Model HR probability 19.2% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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