MLB Results — June 19, 2026

MLB Model Results — June 19, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Brandon Lowe— · vs Kyle Freeland 20.3% No Home Run

#2 Hunter Goodman— · vs Bubba Chandler 19.7% No Home Run

#3 Marcell Ozuna— · vs Kyle Freeland 19.0% No Home Run

#4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr.— · vs Ben Brown 18.8% No Home Run

#5 Seiya Suzuki— · vs Kevin Gausman 18.3% No Home Run

#6 Cal Raleigh— · vs Ranger Suarez 18.2% No Home Run

#7 Christian Walker— · vs Tanner Bibee 18.0% No Home Run

#8 Pete Alonso— · vs Roki Sasaki 17.9% Home Run

#9 Colson Montgomery— · vs Tarik Skubal 17.4% No Home Run

#10 Byron Buxton— · vs Michael Soroka 17.3% No Home Run

#11 Jake Burger— · vs Randy Vásquez 16.4% No Home Run

#12 Austin Riley— · vs Jacob Misiorowski 16.1% No Home Run

#13 Nick Kurtz— · vs José Soriano 15.9% No Home Run

#14 Shea Langeliers— · vs José Soriano 15.9% No Home Run

#15 Gunnar Henderson— · vs Roki Sasaki 15.5% Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Cam Schlittlervs Cincinnati Reds 6.5 13 +6.5

Jacob deGromvs San Diego Padres 6.0 9 +3.0

Tarik Skubalvs Chicago White Sox 5.9 8 +2.1

Kevin Gausmanvs Chicago Cubs 5.6 3 -2.6

Michael Sorokavs Minnesota Twins 5.6 0 -5.6

Jacob Misiorowskivs Atlanta Braves 5.5 7 +1.5

José Sorianovs Athletics 5.5 6 +0.5On target

Bryce Millervs Boston Red Sox 5.5 7 +1.5

Tanner Bibeevs Houston Astros 5.3 7 +1.7

Ben Brownvs Toronto Blue Jays 5.3 4 -1.3

Landen Rouppvs Miami Marlins 5.2 7 +1.8

Griffin Jaxvs Washington Nationals 5.2 5 -0.2On target

Bubba Chandlervs Colorado Rockies 5.2 1 -4.2

Ranger Suarezvs Seattle Mariners 5.0 5 +0.0On target

Roki Sasakivs Baltimore Orioles 4.9 6 +1.1

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Colt Keith— · vs Erick Fedde 58.1% No Hit

George Springer— · vs Ben Brown 57.5% Hit

Anthony Volpe— · vs Rhett Lowder 57.2% Hit

Christian YelichMilwaukee Brewers · vs Martín Pérez 57.1% Hit

Dillon Dingler— · vs Erick Fedde 57.1% Hit

Pete Crow-Armstrong— · vs Kevin Gausman 56.9% Hit

Donovan Walton— · vs Jeffrey Springs 56.8% No Hit

Alex Bregman— · vs Kevin Gausman 56.5% Hit

Yohendrick Piñango— · vs Ben Brown 56.5% No Hit

Jac Caglianone— · vs Michael McGreevy 56.5% Hit

Alejandro Kirk— · vs Ben Brown 56.1% No Hit

Gabriel Moreno— · vs Connor Prielipp 55.7% Hit

Corbin Carroll— · vs Connor Prielipp 55.5% Hit

Jose Siri— · vs Jeffrey Springs 55.5% Hit

Matt Shaw— · vs Kevin Gausman 55.5% No Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Pete Alonso — 17.9% HR probability
Gunnar Henderson — 15.5% HR probability
Rafael Devers — 15.4% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Cam Schlittler — proj 6.5, recorded 13
Jacob deGrom — proj 6.0, recorded 9
Tarik Skubal — proj 5.9, recorded 8

Biggest Surprises

Tatsuya Imai — proj 4.3, recorded 11
Cam Schlittler — proj 6.5, recorded 13

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Pete Alonso. Model HR probability 17.9% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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