MLB Results — June 13, 2026

MLB Model Results — June 13, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Byron Buxton— · vs Matthew Liberatore 18.4% Home Run

#2 Nick Kurtz— · vs Kyle Freeland 18.4% No Home Run

#3 Shea Langeliers— · vs Kyle Freeland 18.4% No Home Run

#4 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Sean Burke 18.4% Home Run

#5 Hunter Goodman— · vs Joey Estes 18.2% No Home Run

#6 Pete Alonso— · vs Randy Vásquez 17.9% Home Run

#7 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Noah Cameron 17.9% No Home Run

#8 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Shane Drohan 17.5% No Home Run

#9 Christian Walker— · vs Noah Cameron 17.5% Home Run

#10 Juan Soto— · vs Martín Pérez 17.5% No Home Run

#11 Tyler Soderstrom— · vs Kyle Freeland 17.2% No Home Run

#12 Bryce Harper— · vs Shane Drohan 17.2% No Home Run

#13 Brandon Lowe— · vs Lake Bachar 16.8% No Home Run

#14 Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays · vs José Soriano 15.9% No Home Run

#15 Mike Trout— · vs Griffin Jax 15.7% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Yoshinobu Yamamotovs Chicago White Sox 6.4 7 +0.6On target

Michael Sorokavs Cincinnati Reds 6.4 7 +0.6On target

Kevin Gausmanvs New York Yankees 6.3 7 +0.7On target

Jacob deGromvs Boston Red Sox 6.3 5 -1.3

Joey Estesvs Colorado Rockies 6.1 4 -2.1

Luis Castillovs Washington Nationals 6.1 4 -2.1

Noah Cameronvs Houston Astros 6.0 1 -5.0

Cade Cavallivs Seattle Mariners 6.0 5 -1.0On target

Ranger Suarezvs Texas Rangers 5.7 7 +1.3

Cam Schlittlervs Toronto Blue Jays 5.7 7 +1.3

Ben Brownvs San Francisco Giants 5.7 3 -2.7

Martín Pérezvs New York Mets 5.6 4 -1.6

Sean Burkevs Los Angeles Dodgers 5.6 6 +0.4On target

Tarik Skubalvs Cleveland Guardians 5.5 4 -1.5

José Sorianovs Tampa Bay Rays 5.4 5 -0.4On target

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Bryce Harper— · vs Shane Drohan 65.0% No Hit

Christian Walker— · vs Noah Cameron 65.0% Hit

Jake Burger— · vs Ranger Suarez 65.0% Hit

Byron Buxton— · vs Matthew Liberatore 65.0% Hit

Nick Kurtz— · vs Kyle Freeland 65.0% Hit

Tyler Soderstrom— · vs Kyle Freeland 64.7% Hit

Brandon Lowe— · vs Lake Bachar 64.4% No Hit

Shea Langeliers— · vs Kyle Freeland 64.2% Hit

Colt Keith— · vs Joey Cantillo 64.2% No Hit

Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Trey Gibson 64.0% Hit

Pete Alonso— · vs Randy Vásquez 64.0% Hit

Dillon Dingler— · vs Joey Cantillo 63.7% Hit

Ben Rice— · vs Kevin Gausman 63.7% Hit

Alec Burleson— · vs Connor Prielipp 63.5% Hit

Blaze Alexander— · vs Randy Vásquez 63.5% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Byron Buxton — 18.4% HR probability
Shohei Ohtani — 18.4% HR probability
Pete Alonso — 17.9% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Yoshinobu Yamamoto — proj 6.4, recorded 7
Michael Soroka — proj 6.4, recorded 7
Kevin Gausman — proj 6.3, recorded 7

Biggest Surprises

Noah Cameron — proj 6.0, recorded 1
Rhett Lowder — proj 1.1, recorded 6

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Byron Buxton. Model HR probability 18.4% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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