MLB Results — June 12, 2026

MLB Model Results — June 12, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Byron Buxton— · vs Kyle Leahy 18.4% Home Run

#2 Hunter Goodman— · vs Gage Jump 18.2% No Home Run

#3 Shea Langeliers— · vs Unknown Pitcher 17.8% Home Run

#4 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Jacob Misiorowski 17.5% No Home Run

#5 Pete Alonso— · vs Griffin Canning 17.5% No Home Run

#6 Juan Soto— · vs Spencer Strider 17.5% Home Run

#7 Brandon Lowe— · vs Sandy Alcantara 17.4% Home Run

#8 Christian Walker— · vs Luinder Avila 17.4% Home Run

#9 Taylor Ward— · vs Griffin Canning 17.1% No Home Run

#10 Bryce Harper— · vs Jacob Misiorowski 17.0% No Home Run

#11 Tyler Soderstrom— · vs Unknown Pitcher 16.9% No Home Run

#12 Nick Kurtz— · vs Unknown Pitcher 16.7% Home Run

#13 Tyler O'Neill— · vs Griffin Canning 16.7% No Home Run

#14 Colson Montgomery— · vs Roki Sasaki 16.7% No Home Run

#15 Ketel Marte— · vs Nick Lodolo 16.5% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Jacob Misiorowskivs Philadelphia Phillies 8.0 15 +7.0

Bryce Millervs Washington Nationals 7.4 7 -0.4On target

Nolan McLeanvs Atlanta Braves 7.1 6 -1.1

Ryan Weathersvs Toronto Blue Jays 6.8 2 -4.8

Trey Yesavagevs New York Yankees 6.7 3 -3.7

Braxton Ashcraftvs Miami Marlins 6.5 4 -2.5

Shane Bazvs San Diego Padres 6.2 1 -5.2

Roki Sasakivs Chicago White Sox 6.1 4 -2.1

Spencer Stridervs New York Mets 6.1 3 -3.1

Jack Leitervs Boston Red Sox 5.7 3 -2.7

Joe Ryanvs St. Louis Cardinals 5.7 8 +2.3

Shane McClanahanvs Los Angeles Angels 5.6 7 +1.4

Tanner Bibeevs Detroit Tigers 5.6 8 +2.4

Jack Flahertyvs Cleveland Guardians 5.4 1 -4.4

Sandy Alcantaravs Pittsburgh Pirates 5.3 7 +1.7

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Joc Pederson— · vs Sonny Gray 65.0% Hit

Rhys Hoskins— · vs Jack Flaherty 65.0% Hit

Andrew Vaughn— · vs Andrew Painter 65.0% No Hit

Gabriel Moreno— · vs Nick Lodolo 65.0% Hit

Mickey Gasper— · vs Jack Leiter 65.0% Hit

Freddie Freeman— · vs Anthony Kay 65.0% No Hit

Luis García Jr.— · vs Bryce Miller 65.0% No Hit

Blake Dunn— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 65.0% No Hit

Matt McLain— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 65.0% No Hit

Hunter Goodman— · vs Gage Jump 65.0% No Hit

Sal Stewart— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 65.0% No Hit

Dane Myers— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 65.0% No Hit

Spencer Steer— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 65.0% No Hit

Corbin Carroll— · vs Nick Lodolo 65.0% Hit

Colton Cowser— · vs Griffin Canning 65.0% No Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Byron Buxton — 18.4% HR probability
Shea Langeliers — 17.8% HR probability
Juan Soto — 17.5% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Jacob Misiorowski — proj 8.0, recorded 15
Joe Ryan — proj 5.7, recorded 8
Shane McClanahan — proj 5.6, recorded 7

Biggest Surprises

Jacob Misiorowski — proj 8.0, recorded 15
Shane Baz — proj 6.2, recorded 1

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Byron Buxton. Model HR probability 18.4% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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