MLB Results — June 14, 2026

MLB Model Results — June 14, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Ketel Marte— · vs Andrew Abbott 28.5% No Home Run

#2 Byron Buxton— · vs Michael McGreevy 22.5% No Home Run

#3 Hunter Goodman— · vs Jeffrey Springs 22.1% Home Run

#4 Christian Walker— · vs Stephen Kolek 21.7% No Home Run

#5 Bryce Harper— · vs Kyle Harrison 21.7% No Home Run

#6 Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Trevor Rogers 21.3% No Home Run

#7 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Erick Fedde 20.1% No Home Run

#8 Max Muncy— · vs Erick Fedde 19.8% No Home Run

#9 Nick Kurtz— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 19.7% No Home Run

#10 Pete Alonso— · vs Walker Buehler 19.6% No Home Run

#11 Brandon Lowe— · vs Max Meyer 19.2% No Home Run

#12 Tyler Soderstrom— · vs Tomoyuki Sugano 19.0% Home Run

#13 Juan Soto— · vs Bryce Elder 18.9% No Home Run

#14 Yordan Alvarez— · vs Stephen Kolek 18.5% No Home Run

#15 Mike Trout— · vs Casey Legumina 18.3% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Max Meyervs Pittsburgh Pirates 6.3 9 +2.7

Nathan Eovaldivs Boston Red Sox 6.3 6 -0.3On target

Emerson Hancockvs Washington Nationals 6.3 2 -4.3

Emmet Sheehanvs Chicago White Sox 6.0 8 +2.0

Kyle Harrisonvs Philadelphia Phillies 5.9 3 -2.9

Connelly Earlyvs Texas Rangers 5.8 3 -2.8

Spencer Arrighettivs Kansas City Royals 5.7 7 +1.3

Paul Skenesvs Miami Marlins 5.6 10 +4.4

Will Warrenvs Toronto Blue Jays 5.6 1 -4.6

Logan Webbvs Chicago Cubs 5.5 7 +1.5

Freddy Peraltavs Atlanta Braves 5.5 2 -3.5

Cristopher Sánchezvs Milwaukee Brewers 5.5 3 -2.5

Bryce Eldervs New York Mets 5.5 2 -3.5

Taj Bradleyvs St. Louis Cardinals 5.2 7 +1.8

Stephen Kolekvs Houston Astros 4.8 4 -0.8On target

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Ben Rice— · vs Patrick Corbin 65.0% Hit

Otto Lopez— · vs Paul Skenes 65.0% Hit

Jake Burger— · vs Connelly Early 65.0% Hit

Max Muncy— · vs Erick Fedde 65.0% No Hit

Liam HicksTampa Bay Rays · vs Paul Skenes 65.0% Hit

Hunter Goodman— · vs Jeffrey Springs 65.0% Hit

Christian Walker— · vs Stephen Kolek 65.0% Hit

Geraldo Perdomo— · vs Andrew Abbott 65.0% Hit

Byron Buxton— · vs Michael McGreevy 65.0% Hit

Tommy Troy— · vs Andrew Abbott 65.0% Hit

Nolan Arenado— · vs Andrew Abbott 65.0% Hit

Dominic Canzone— · vs Miles Mikolas 65.0% Hit

Andy Pages— · vs Erick Fedde 65.0% No Hit

JJ Bleday— · vs Zac Gallen 65.0% Hit

Gabriel Moreno— · vs Andrew Abbott 65.0% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Hunter Goodman — 22.1% HR probability
Tyler Soderstrom — 19.0% HR probability
Junior Caminero — 16.4% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Max Meyer — proj 6.3, recorded 9
Emmet Sheehan — proj 6.0, recorded 8
Spencer Arrighetti — proj 5.7, recorded 7

Biggest Surprises

Will Warren — proj 5.6, recorded 1
Paul Skenes — proj 5.6, recorded 10

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Hunter Goodman. Model HR probability 22.1% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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