Slate Summary
MLB Model Results — June 2, 2026
Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.
15
Games covered
389
Hitters evaluated
30
Pitchers evaluated
June 2, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats
Top Home Run Threat Results
Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.
| Rank | Player | Team | Matchup | HR Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | vs Davis Martin | 18.4% | No Home Run |
| #2 | Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers | vs Michael Soroka | 17.5% | No Home Run |
| #3 | Shea Langeliers | Athletics | vs Jameson Taillon | 17.5% | No Home Run |
| #4 | Christian Walker | Houston Astros | vs Bubba Chandler | 17.5% | No Home Run |
| #5 | Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | vs Grayson Rodriguez | 17.4% | Home Run |
| #6 | Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | vs Randy Vásquez | 16.9% | Home Run |
| #7 | Mike Trout | Los Angeles Angels | vs Tomoyuki Sugano | 16.8% | No Home Run |
| #8 | Tyler Soderstrom | — | vs Jameson Taillon | 16.8% | No Home Run |
| #9 | Colson Montgomery | Chicago White Sox | vs Connor Prielipp | 16.7% | No Home Run |
| #10 | Rafael Devers | — | vs Kyle Harrison | 16.4% | No Home Run |
| #11 | Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | vs Randy Vásquez | 16.4% | No Home Run |
| #12 | Juan Soto | New York Mets | vs Logan Gilbert | 16.3% | No Home Run |
| #13 | Brent Rooker | Athletics | vs Jameson Taillon | 16.3% | No Home Run |
| #14 | Oneil Cruz | — | vs Mike Burrows | 16.1% | Home Run |
| #15 | Max Muncy | Los Angeles Dodgers | vs Michael Soroka | 16.0% | No Home Run |
Strikeouts
Pitcher Strikeout Results
Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.
| Pitcher | Opponent | Projected Ks | Actual Ks | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Martin | Minnesota Twins | 7.7 | 2 | -5.7 | |
| Cam Schlittler | Cleveland Guardians | 7.5 | 3 | -4.5 | |
| Kyle Harrison | San Francisco Giants | 6.9 | 12 | +5.1 | |
| Logan Gilbert | New York Mets | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 | |
| Kevin Gausman | Atlanta Braves | 6.2 | 8 | +1.8 | |
| Bryce Elder | Toronto Blue Jays | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 | On Target |
| Nathan Eovaldi | St. Louis Cardinals | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 | |
| Shane Baz | Boston Red Sox | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 | On Target |
| Mike Burrows | Pittsburgh Pirates | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 | |
| Michael Soroka | Los Angeles Dodgers | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 | On Target |
| Trevor McDonald | Milwaukee Brewers | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 | |
| Aaron Nola | San Diego Padres | 5.5 | 8 | +2.5 | |
| Dustin May | Texas Rangers | 5.5 | 9 | +3.5 | |
| Noah Cameron | Cincinnati Reds | 5.5 | 8 | +2.5 | |
| Jameson Taillon | Athletics | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 | On Target |
Hit Probability
Hit Probability Results
Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.
| Player | Team | Matchup | Hit Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rice | — | vs Joey Cantillo | 65.0% | Hit |
| Mike Trout | Los Angeles Angels | vs Tomoyuki Sugano | 65.0% | Hit |
| Tyler Soderstrom | — | vs Jameson Taillon | 65.0% | Hit |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | vs Mike Burrows | 65.0% | Hit |
| Byron Buxton | Minnesota Twins | vs Davis Martin | 65.0% | Hit |
| Trent Grisham | — | vs Joey Cantillo | 65.0% | Hit |
| Anthony Volpe | — | vs Joey Cantillo | 65.0% | No Hit |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | vs Gage Jump | 64.7% | Hit |
| Carson Kelly | — | vs Gage Jump | 64.7% | No Hit |
| Andrew Benintendi | — | vs Connor Prielipp | 64.3% | No Hit |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | vs Grayson Rodriguez | 64.0% | Hit |
| Salvador Perez | — | vs Andrew Abbott | 64.0% | Hit |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | vs Joey Cantillo | 64.0% | Hit |
| Bryan Reynolds | — | vs Mike Burrows | 63.7% | No Hit |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros | vs Bubba Chandler | 63.3% | Hit |
Model Highlights
What the Model Got Right
Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.
Top Home Run Calls
- Hunter Goodman — 17.4% HR probability
- Bryce Harper — 16.9% HR probability
- Oneil Cruz — 16.1% HR probability
Top Strikeout Calls
- Kyle Harrison — proj 6.9, recorded 12
- Logan Gilbert — proj 6.4, recorded 8
- Kevin Gausman — proj 6.2, recorded 8
Biggest Surprises
- Davis Martin — proj 7.7, recorded 2
- Kyle Harrison — proj 6.9, recorded 12
Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Hunter Goodman. Model HR probability 17.4% — result: Home Run.
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