MLB Results

MLB Model Results — June 1, 2026

Home run threat, strikeout, and hit probability results for this MLB slate.

MLB Model Results — June 1, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Juan Soto— · vs Emerson Hancock 18.4% No Home Run
#2 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 17.5% No Home Run
#3 Byron Buxton— · vs Unknown Pitcher 17.3% No Home Run
#4 Mike Trout— · vs Kyle Freeland 16.9% No Home Run
#5 Rafael Devers— · vs Shane Drohan 16.4% No Home Run
#6 Hunter Goodman— · vs José Soriano 16.3% Home Run
#7 Max Muncy— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 16.1% No Home Run
#8 Colson Montgomery— · vs Joe Ryan 15.6% No Home Run
#9 Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays · vs Ty Madden 14.9% Home Run
#10 Jake Burger— · vs Michael McGreevy 11.3% No Home Run
#11 Kerry Carpenter— · vs Griffin Jax 10.2% Home Run
#12 José Tena— · vs Sandy Alcantara 10.0% No Home Run
#13 Eugenio Suárez— · vs Luinder Avila 9.8% No Home Run
#14 James Wood— · vs Sandy Alcantara 8.7% No Home Run
#15 Kyle Tucker— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 8.5% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

José Sorianovs Colorado Rockies 6.9 7 +0.1On target
Cade Cavallivs Miami Marlins 6.4 6 -0.4On target
Emerson Hancockvs New York Mets 6.2 7 +0.8On target
Sandy Alcantaravs Washington Nationals 4.7 5 +0.3On target
Kyle Freelandvs Los Angeles Angels 4.5 4 -0.5On target
Ty Maddenvs Tampa Bay Rays 1.2 4 +2.8

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Max Muncy— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 65.0% No Hit
Byron Buxton— · vs Unknown Pitcher 65.0% Hit
Freddie Freeman— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 65.0% No Hit
Andy Pages— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 65.0% Hit
Mike Trout— · vs Kyle Freeland 64.0% Hit
Alex Call— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 63.7% No Hit
Brandon Nimmo— · vs Michael McGreevy 62.8% Hit
Shohei Ohtani— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 62.7% Hit
Kyle Tucker— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 62.7% No Hit
Eugenio Suárez— · vs Luinder Avila 62.4% Hit
Bobby Witt Jr.— · vs Chase Burns 62.4% Hit
Juan Soto— · vs Emerson Hancock 61.7% No Hit
Jake Burger— · vs Michael McGreevy 61.3% No Hit
Miguel Rojas— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 61.3% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Top Strikeout Calls

Biggest Surprises

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Hunter Goodman. Model HR probability 16.3% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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