MLB Results

MLB Model Results — June 1, 2026

Home run threat, strikeout, and hit probability results for this MLB slate.

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Slate Summary

MLB Model Results — June 1, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

9
Games covered
234
Hitters evaluated
18
Pitchers evaluated
June 1, 2026
Slate date
Home Run Threats

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

RankPlayerTeamMatchupHR ProbabilityResult
#1Juan SotoNew York Metsvs Emerson Hancock18.4%No Home Run
#2Shohei OhtaniLos Angeles Dodgersvs Eduardo Rodriguez17.5%No Home Run
#3Byron BuxtonMinnesota Twinsvs Unknown Pitcher17.3%No Home Run
#4Mike TroutLos Angeles Angelsvs Kyle Freeland16.9%No Home Run
#5Rafael Devers—vs Shane Drohan16.4%No Home Run
#6Hunter GoodmanColorado Rockiesvs José Soriano16.3%Home Run
#7Max MuncyLos Angeles Dodgersvs Eduardo Rodriguez16.1%No Home Run
#8Colson MontgomeryChicago White Soxvs Joe Ryan15.6%No Home Run
#9Junior CamineroTampa Bay Raysvs Ty Madden14.9%Home Run
#10Jake Burger—vs Michael McGreevy11.3%No Home Run
#11Kerry Carpenter—vs Griffin Jax10.2%Home Run
#12José Tena—vs Sandy Alcantara10.0%No Home Run
#13Eugenio Suárez—vs Luinder Avila9.8%No Home Run
#14James Wood—vs Sandy Alcantara8.7%No Home Run
#15Kyle TuckerLos Angeles Dodgersvs Eduardo Rodriguez8.5%No Home Run
Strikeouts

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

PitcherOpponentProjected KsActual KsDifference
Joe RyanChicago White Sox7.59+1.5
Emmet SheehanArizona Diamondbacks7.23-4.2
José SorianoColorado Rockies6.97+0.1On Target
Cade CavalliMiami Marlins6.46-0.4On Target
Emerson HancockNew York Mets6.27+0.8On Target
Jacob deGromSt. Louis Cardinals5.78+2.3
Landen RouppMilwaukee Brewers5.64-1.6
Eduardo RodriguezLos Angeles Dodgers5.03-2.0
Michael McGreevyTexas Rangers4.81-3.8
Sandy AlcantaraWashington Nationals4.75+0.3On Target
Kyle FreelandLos Angeles Angels4.54-0.5On Target
Griffin JaxDetroit Tigers3.65+1.4
Luinder AvilaCincinnati Reds1.35+3.7
Shane DrohanSan Francisco Giants1.25+3.8
Ty MaddenTampa Bay Rays1.24+2.8
Hit Probability

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

PlayerTeamMatchupHit ProbabilityResult
Max MuncyLos Angeles Dodgersvs Eduardo Rodriguez65.0%No Hit
Junior CamineroTampa Bay Raysvs Ty Madden65.0%Hit
Byron BuxtonMinnesota Twinsvs Unknown Pitcher65.0%Hit
Freddie Freeman—vs Eduardo Rodriguez65.0%No Hit
Andy Pages—vs Eduardo Rodriguez65.0%Hit
Mike TroutLos Angeles Angelsvs Kyle Freeland64.0%Hit
Alex Call—vs Eduardo Rodriguez63.7%No Hit
Brandon Nimmo—vs Michael McGreevy62.8%Hit
Shohei OhtaniLos Angeles Dodgersvs Eduardo Rodriguez62.7%Hit
Kyle TuckerLos Angeles Dodgersvs Eduardo Rodriguez62.7%No Hit
Eugenio Suárez—vs Luinder Avila62.4%Hit
Bobby Witt Jr.—vs Chase Burns62.4%Hit
Juan SotoNew York Metsvs Emerson Hancock61.7%No Hit
Jake Burger—vs Michael McGreevy61.3%No Hit
Miguel Rojas—vs Eduardo Rodriguez61.3%Hit
Model Highlights

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

  • Hunter Goodman — 16.3% HR probability
  • Junior Caminero — 14.9% HR probability
  • Kerry Carpenter — 10.2% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

  • Joe Ryan — proj 7.5, recorded 9
  • José Soriano — proj 6.9, recorded 7
  • Emerson Hancock — proj 6.2, recorded 7

Biggest Surprises

  • Emmet Sheehan — proj 7.2, recorded 3
  • Michael McGreevy — proj 4.8, recorded 1
Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Hunter Goodman. Model HR probability 16.3% — result: Home Run.
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