MLB Results — June 3, 2026

MLB Model Results — June 3, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Hunter Goodman— · vs Walbert Ureña 18.0% No Home Run

#2 Byron Buxton— · vs Erick Fedde 17.9% No Home Run

#3 Pete Alonso— · vs Payton Tolle 17.9% No Home Run

#4 Shohei Ohtani— · vs Zac Gallen 17.5% No Home Run

#5 Shea Langeliers— · vs Colin Rea 17.5% No Home Run

#6 Kyle Schwarber— · vs Walker Buehler 17.1% Home Run

#7 Bryce Harper— · vs Walker Buehler 17.0% No Home Run

#8 Mike Trout— · vs Michael Lorenzen 16.8% No Home Run

#9 Brandon Lowe— · vs Spencer Arrighetti 16.7% No Home Run

#10 Juan Soto— · vs George Kirby 16.7% No Home Run

#11 Rafael Devers— · vs Unknown Pitcher 16.4% No Home Run

#12 Brent Rooker— · vs Colin Rea 16.4% No Home Run

#13 Christian Walker— · vs Paul Skenes 16.3% No Home Run

#14 Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays · vs Troy Melton 16.0% No Home Run

#15 Oneil Cruz— · vs Spencer Arrighetti 16.0% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Shohei Ohtanivs Arizona Diamondbacks 7.8 6 -1.8

Cristopher Sánchezvs San Diego Padres 7.5 8 +0.5On target

Chase Burnsvs Kansas City Royals 7.2 9 +1.8

Taj Bradleyvs Chicago White Sox 7.1 5 -2.1

Gavin Williamsvs New York Yankees 7.1 6 -1.1

Gerrit Colevs Cleveland Guardians 6.4 2 -4.4

Max Meyervs Washington Nationals 6.3 7 +0.7On target

Spencer Arrighettivs Pittsburgh Pirates 5.8 3 -2.8

Paul Skenesvs Houston Astros 5.7 7 +1.3

Freddy Peraltavs Seattle Mariners 5.6 6 +0.4On target

George Kirbyvs New York Mets 5.6 5 -0.6On target

Payton Tollevs Baltimore Orioles 5.5 5 -0.5On target

Logan Webbvs Milwaukee Brewers 5.5 4 -1.5

Colin Reavs Athletics 5.4 3 -2.4

Walbert Ureñavs Colorado Rockies 5.4 7 +1.6

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Mike Trout— · vs Michael Lorenzen 65.0% No Hit

Brandon Lowe— · vs Spencer Arrighetti 65.0% No Hit

Hunter Goodman— · vs Walbert Ureña 65.0% Hit

Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays · vs Troy Melton 65.0% Hit

Andy Pages— · vs Zac Gallen 65.0% Hit

Juan Soto— · vs George Kirby 65.0% Hit

Bryan Reynolds— · vs Spencer Arrighetti 65.0% Hit

Josh Jung— · vs Andre Pallante 65.0% Hit

Ben Rice— · vs Gavin Williams 65.0% Hit

Freddie Freeman— · vs Zac Gallen 64.7% Hit

Logan O'Hoppe— · vs Michael Lorenzen 64.3% Hit

Byron Buxton— · vs Erick Fedde 64.0% No Hit

Fernando Tatis Jr.— · vs Cristopher Sánchez 64.0% Hit

Max Muncy— · vs Zac Gallen 64.0% Hit

Matt Olson— · vs Patrick Corbin 64.0% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Kyle Schwarber — 17.1% HR probability
José Ramírez — 13.0% HR probability
Kyle Tucker — 7.3% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Cristopher Sánchez — proj 7.5, recorded 8
Chase Burns — proj 7.2, recorded 9
Max Meyer — proj 6.3, recorded 7

Biggest Surprises

Gerrit Cole — proj 6.4, recorded 2
Nick Martinez — proj 4.9, recorded 1

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Kyle Schwarber. Model HR probability 17.1% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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