MLB Results — April 9, 2026

MLB Model Results — April 9, 2026

Every figure below is drawn from EdgeRanked's published projection and tracking artifacts for this date.

Top Home Run Threat Results

Players ranked by the model's home run probability, with the recorded outcome.

#1 Aaron Judge— · vs Jeffrey Springs 8.9% No Home Run

#2 Munetaka Murakami— · vs Seth Lugo 4.4% No Home Run

#3 Royce Lewis— · vs Jack Flaherty 4.3% No Home Run

#4 Liam Hicks— · vs Rhett Lowder 4.3% No Home Run

#5 Carter Jensen— · vs Anthony Kay 4.3% No Home Run

#6 Matt Wallner— · vs Jack Flaherty 4.2% No Home Run

#7 Elly De La Cruz— · vs Max Meyer 4.0% No Home Run

#8 Owen Caissie— · vs Rhett Lowder 4.0% No Home Run

#9 Jose Fernandez— · vs Nolan McLean 3.9% No Home Run

#10 Griffin Conine— · vs Rhett Lowder 3.9% No Home Run

#11 Max Muncy— · vs Ryan Weathers 3.9% No Home Run

#12 Dillon Dingler— · vs Mick Abel 3.8% No Home Run

#13 Mark Vientos— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 3.8% No Home Run

#14 Tyler Soderstrom— · vs Ryan Weathers 3.8% No Home Run

#15 Kerry Carpenter— · vs Mick Abel 3.7% No Home Run

Pitcher Strikeout Results

Projected strikeouts versus actual, ordered by projection strength. “On Target” marks calls within one strikeout.

Nolan McLeanvs Arizona Diamondbacks 5.4 8 +2.6

Max Meyervs Cincinnati Reds 4.3 4 -0.3On target

Jeffrey Springsvs New York Yankees 4.3 6 +1.7

Jack Flahertyvs Minnesota Twins 4.3 6 +1.7

Seth Lugovs Chicago White Sox 4.3 4 -0.3On target

Rhett Lowdervs Miami Marlins 4.0 2 -2.0

Ryan Weathersvs Athletics 4.0 7 +3.0

Eduardo Rodriguezvs New York Mets 4.0 3 -1.0

Randy Vásquezvs Colorado Rockies 4.0 8 +4.0

Mick Abelvs Detroit Tigers 3.2 6 +2.8

Anthony Kayvs Kansas City Royals 2.9 6 +3.1

Hit Probability Results

Players ranked by projected hit probability, with the recorded outcome.

Sal Stewart— · vs Max Meyer 61.1% Hit

Aaron Judge— · vs Jeffrey Springs 58.8% No Hit

Elly De La Cruz— · vs Max Meyer 58.8% Hit

Brett Baty— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 58.6% Hit

Ildemaro Vargas— · vs Nolan McLean 58.0% Hit

TJ Friedl— · vs Max Meyer 58.0% No Hit

Byron Buxton— · vs Jack Flaherty 57.7% No Hit

Nathaniel Lowe— · vs Max Meyer 57.7% No Hit

Gleyber Torres— · vs Mick Abel 57.4% Hit

Kyle Isbel— · vs Anthony Kay 57.2% No Hit

Francisco Alvarez— · vs Eduardo Rodriguez 56.7% No Hit

Maikel Garcia— · vs Anthony Kay 56.3% Hit

Jeff McNeil— · vs Ryan Weathers 56.1% No Hit

Colt Keith— · vs Mick Abel 56.0% Hit

Josh Bell— · vs Jack Flaherty 55.6% Hit

What the Model Got Right

Automatically surfaced from the graded results for this date — no manual analysis.

Top Home Run Calls

Sal Stewart — 2.8% HR probability
Josh Bell — 2.6% HR probability
Luis Robert Jr. — 2.5% HR probability

Top Strikeout Calls

Nolan McLean — proj 5.4, recorded 8
Jeffrey Springs — proj 4.3, recorded 6
Jack Flaherty — proj 4.3, recorded 6

Biggest Surprises

Randy Vásquez — proj 4.0, recorded 8
Anthony Kay — proj 2.9, recorded 6

Highest Performing Projection — Home Run Projection: Sal Stewart. Model HR probability 2.8% — result: Home Run.

Live on EdgeRanked

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